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Market Outlooks
Capital Market Assumptions: 5-Year Outlook
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Chief Investment Strategist Jim McDonald breaks down our new five-year Capital Market Assumptions outlook, which outlines key investment themes that ultimately drive our asset class return expectations for the next five years.
Market Outlooks
Global Stocks Rebound, U.S. Inflation Expected to Moderate
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Investors now give over a 90% chance of a 0.75% Fed hike later this month. U.S. inflation in August may fall from July on a year-over-year basis.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Jackson Hole Comments Contribute to Stock Decline, U.S. Jobs Market Expected to Remain Strong
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Investors give about a 65% chance of a 0.75% Fed rate hike in September. The U.S. jobs report on Friday is expected to show 3.5% unemployment and 300,000 jobs added.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
MarketScape: Inflation May Have Peaked, but Uncertainty Looms
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Stocks have rebounded on signs that U.S. inflation may have peaked, but investors face potentially muted returns while the risk of sticky inflation remains.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
MarketScape: A 50/50 U.S. Recession Risk
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Chief Investment Strategist Jim McDonald examines the economic risks investors face.
Fixed Income Insights
Municipal Bonds: 2023 U.S. States Outlook
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Revenue above expectations, pandemic federal aid and reserves have strengthened states' financial outlook. But states will need to prepare as pandemic aid winds down and the economy slows.