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Market Outlooks
PMC Weekly Market Brief - February 18, 2020
PMC Weekly Market Brief: February 18, 2020
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields rise slightly, with all eyes on the coronavirus
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U.S. Treasury yields rose slightly last week, led by the short end of the yield curve. Yields were pushed higher over optimism about the containment of the coronavirus in China. Market expectations for Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts in 2020 continue to hover around 1.5 cuts, with the first rate reduction anticipated in September.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Testing our global outlook
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The February update to our Global Outlook reaffirms our expectation for global growth to edge higher this year, even as the coronavirus outbreak has introduced uncertainties. Past epidemics have seen V-shaped economic recoveries – a pattern we expect see this time as well. Yet the depth and width of the “V” are highly uncertain. This outbreak could be more disruptive than past ones because it could be more severe, and because of greater reliance on global supply chains.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Economic Indicators Suggest President Trump's Reelection
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In testimony on Capitol Hill this week, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell repeatedly praised the strength of the U.S. economy across multiple indicators. He pointed to an historically-low unemployment rate, rising wages, and continual, moderate overall growth. Powell has a notably turbulent relationship with President Donald Trump, but his assessment should have been music to the ears of top White House and Trump campaign officials (even if the president could not help live-Tweeting his criticism of Powell’s testimony). The economy, after all, is historically perhaps the most reliable presidential election indicator.
Market Outlooks
Market Week in Review: Coronavirus and the global economy: Stimulus to the rescue?
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On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Senior Portfolio Manager Megan Roach and Research Analyst Brian Yadao discussed the latest coronavirus developments as well as recently released European macroeconomic data. They also chatted about U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell’s testimony before Congress, and provided an update on fourth-quarter earnings season.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Snapshot: February 14, 2020
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Read the Weekly Market Snapshot to stay up-to-date with stock markets and sectors, bond market returns and financial news for the week.
Fixed Income Insights
Beyond the Index – IG Credit: The Hidden Risks of “Safe” Bond Strategies
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Traditional investment grade bond strategies are meant to help their owners sleep at night. But hidden credit and interest rate risks make benchmark-hugging more hazardous than many realize. Counterintuitively, CLOs, ABS and EM debt may be part of the solution.