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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Recession looms as regime takes root
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We’ve argued for a while that we’re in a new macro regime. Central bankers at the recent Jackson Hole forum started to recognize this reality.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Jackson Hole Comments Contribute to Stock Decline, U.S. Jobs Market Expected to Remain Strong
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Investors give about a 65% chance of a 0.75% Fed rate hike in September. The U.S. jobs report on Friday is expected to show 3.5% unemployment and 300,000 jobs added.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
MarketScape: Inflation May Have Peaked, but Uncertainty Looms
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Stocks have rebounded on signs that U.S. inflation may have peaked, but investors face potentially muted returns while the risk of sticky inflation remains.
Market Outlooks
Lower U.S. Inflation Supports Stocks, Consumer Goods Firms to Report Earnings
July inflation fell below estimates and declined from June. Walmart, Home Depot and Target are scheduled to report earnings as investors track inflation’s effect on companies.
Market Outlooks
MarketScape: How Value Stocks Performed After Technical Recessions
Investors may worry that value stocks’ outperformance may be coming to an end, but history shows a different pattern. Chief Investment Officer for Global Equities Michael Hunstad, Ph.D., examines value’s performance after technical recessions.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Caution: earnings under pressure
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We see company earnings deteriorating amid a rotation in consumer spending and a sputtering restart. This is partly why we remain cautious on stocks.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Why we like credit over equities
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We prefer investment grade (IG) credit over equities on a tactical horizon as we see a new market regime with higher volatility taking shape.