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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Recession Resistance: Can We Prove That Recessions Don't Matter?
Increasingly, investors seem focused on the potential for a recession. In this webcast, we discuss...
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Corporate earnings: Growth clouds have arrived
While many macro signals have already triggered current recessionary conditions in some pockets of the economy, the 4Q22 inversion of the 3m10y Treasury yield curve means that investors need to prepare portfolios for the volatile period that is likely ahead.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Quick Thoughts: Is normal really what we want?
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Tighter monetary policy can lead to inverted yield curves, but is a recession inevitable? Thoughts from Head of Franklin Templeton Institute Stephen Dover.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
International equities: Poised for recovery
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Making the case for international value investing—thoughts from Templeton Global Equity Group on why now’s the time to consider expanding one’s investment horizons.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Quick Thoughts: Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) Failure Ripples Through the Market
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Here’s an update on the latest news involving SVB and the implications for the Fed and markets, from Stephen Dover, Head of Franklin Templeton Institute.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
PodCast: Episode 34: Revenge of the Old Economy
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Low interest rates and a focus on being green led to significant underinvestment in the old economy. Netflix rose and Exxon fell. But we’re now beginning a rotation away from the new economy back to the old, says Jeff Currie, global head of commodities research at Goldman Sachs. In this episode of The Active Share, Jeff tells Hugo how he sees the future of energy, from green tech to oil, from the east to the west—who will win, who will lose, and how investors can prepare.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
China: Reopening Should Drive Growth
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After a year of anemic growth—by China’s standards—we expect a recovery in Chinese economic activity to gradually take place in 2023. The government has abandoned its zero-COVID policy and re-pivoted to growth, and the reopening, combined with a benign inflationary environment that gives China’s policymakers room to increase stimulus, we believe is a reason for optimism in 2023. That said, major policy questions and geopolitical risks cloud the outlook.