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Market Outlooks
Market Week in Review: Why are U.S. stocks flirting with record highs amid a global pandemic?
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Market Week in Review is a weekly market update on global investment news in a quick five-minute video format. It gives you easy access to some of our top investment strategists.
Market Outlooks
The old college try
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Back to school won't be business as usual this year.
Market Outlooks
It's off to work we go...
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The nation's job market continues to mend.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Demographics: China's biggest Achilles' heel
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Vulnerabilities emerge at a potential turning point in its relations with the world.
Active/Passive Management
Federated Hermes tilts toward value
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Stock-bond model keeps 2% equity overweight but shifts from growth bias.
Market Outlooks
BMO Market Charts - August 17th, 2020
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Over the past five years, the concentration of several equity indices has grown substantially. The weight of the top ten names in the Russell 1000 Growth Index doubled from 22% to 44%.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Immigrants key drivers of U.S. economy
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Create a safe, legal immigration framework for foreign workers.
Market Outlooks
The great disconnect between the economy and the stock market
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We concluded our March quarter Perspectives with the comment: “Let’s just hope we now don’t have a gigantic bounce in share prices fuelled by the central bank injections, pushing them back to bubble levels. Or, are we, once again, being naïve?” Yes, we were being naïve. The bounce occurred and it had nothing to do with investment fundamentals.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
COVID-19 isn’t going away
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Colossal policy responses in the second quarter reassured investors that the U.S. economy can weather the COVID-19 downturn, with a relatively quick return to risk assets pushing the S&P 500® up 20.5% for the period, its best quarter since 1998. After bottoming in March, U.S. stocks rose as much as 44% before the rally stalled a bit over the last few weeks of the quarter. We saw a few signs of hesitation for more policy among lawmakers as indicators improved, but overall both Congress and the Federal Reserve (Fed) remain prepared to do more.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
The U.S.-China relationship in a changing global economy
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An inevitable blame game between the U.S. and China has followed COVID-19, but the crisis has really just extended the “trust deficit” that has been steadily building between the two countries in recent years. Though the “Phase One” agreement between the countries remains intact, it is very fragile and China is turning to a more domestic focus. The U.S.-China relationship, however, remains pivotal for the global economy, and in our mini-forum devoted to the topic, we began with a discussion of the relationship from China’s perspective.
Fixed Income Insights
Fixed Income Market Update
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In our view, monetary and fiscal policy have done a tremendous job in papering over fundamental uncertainty. Read more for the news & nuggets
Fixed Income Insights
Municipal Fixed Income: Bluebirds fly
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We focus on the strong recovery in the muni market over the second quarter, which proved to be illuminating to municipal investors on a couple fronts.