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Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields decline as the U.S. election is closer than expected
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U.S. Treasury yields declined last week, led by longer maturities. Yields decreased and the yield curve flattened on Wednesday, as investors struggled to adjust to the tumultuous U.S. presidential election. While prospects for a large fiscal stimulus package dimmed as a result of what will likely be divided government, this did not damage a constructive market sentiment that persisted all week.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields rise despite surging virus cases
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Longer U.S. Treasury rates rose last week, while shorter maturities were unchanged or slightly lower. Market expectations for growth and inflation have been rising on hopes of a large stimulus package early next year.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields rise amid support for risk assets
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U.S. Treasury rates closed higher last week, led by longer maturities. A constructive market tone lifted rates and supported risk assets. Prospects for additional fiscal stimulus prior to the U.S. election dimmed, but rates rose nonetheless as the yield curve steepened.
Fixed Income Insights
CLOs: A Bias Toward Quality
CLOs continued their rebound in the third quarter, but the potential for volatility going forward is high. In this environment, there may be benefits to moving up in quality.
Fixed Income Insights
High Yield: Halfway There?
The shock was the story in the first quarter, the stimulus was the story in the second—but we’re decidedly not yet in the post-COVID era, and the path to economic recovery remains unclear. What does that mean for high yield?
Fixed Income Insights
EMD: A Strong Tailwind, But Risks on the Horizon
Segments of the EM debt market have been bright spots in fixed income this year. Will EMs outperform DMs in the months ahead—or are the risks too great? It may come down to country and credit selection.
Fixed Income Insights
High Yield: Bridging the Gap to a Post-COVID World
What lies ahead for high yield markets? Head of Global Public Fixed Income, Martin Horne weighs in on what the bifurcated asset price recovery, record issuance levels and falling default expectations imply for high yield markets in the months ahead.
Fixed Income Insights
October Fixed Income Market Update
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In our view, while economic data has been generally improving, higher frequency data such as elevated jobless claims and small business employment highlight the risk that the recovery could stall absent additional fiscal stimulus. Given tensions and political posturing entering the last stages of election season, short-term we believe risk premiums should be higher on the margin until resolution of the election.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields fall due to rising coronavirus cases and stalled stimulus
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U.S. Treasury yields declined across the yield curve last week, led by longer maturities. Markets are concerned about rising COVID-19 case counts in the U.S. and Europe, stalemated U.S. fiscal stimulus negotiations and the pausing of several coronavirus drug and vaccine trials.