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Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: How Will Europe Tackle the Biggest Question of the Year?
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Besides the rollout of vaccines that will save us from life inside four walls, we will know how governments want to handle the bill of the pandemic.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields drift higher despite soft consumer data
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U.S. Treasury yields ended last week higher, led by longer maturities. Yields declined early in the week, due to dovish Fed comments and weaker than expected consumer price data. However, Thursday’s soft 30-year Treasury auction reversed the momentum and yields began to climb, more than offsetting declines.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: As we enter a new lunar year, the Fed reiterates its stance on inflation and stimulus.
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We have just begun a new lunar year — the Year of the Ox. I think we are all happy to have said goodbye to the Year of the Rat — although I suppose we should have known this last lunar year was going to be bad because the Year of the Rat is traditionally considered to be a year of turbulence in which change or disaster can happen. Interestingly, the rat and the ox have an unusual relationship.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Markets continue to rise, but so do inflation risks
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U.S. equities added to 2021 gains last week, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Russell 2000 again reaching intra-week record highs. This performance corresponded with a steady VIX reading in the relatively low mid-20s. Sector returns were mixed, led by energy and technology, which added 4.9% and 2.3%, respectively, while utilities lost 1.5%.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Municipals Do Their Best Tortoise Impression and Play Catch Up
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Slow and steady wins the race, or so says Aesop. After playing the post-COVID investment grade laggard for the majority of 2020, the municipal market’s consistent slow-paced nature has them playing catch up through the first 25 trading days of 2021. While municipals enjoyed a healthy 5.21% year-to-date return for 2020, that was still behind U.S. Treasuries by 279 bps (basis points) as well as U.S. Investment Grade Corporates by a staggering 468 bps.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Fiscal boost is not a market risk – yet
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The prospect of another large U.S. fiscal package has fed debates about potential economic overheating. We believe central banks for now have strong incentives to lean against any rapid rise in nominal yields even as inflation rises, supporting our tactically pro-risk stance. Yet rising debt levels may eventually pose risks to the low-rate regime. This is part of why we strategically underweight government debt.
Market Outlooks
BMO Market Charts: February 17, 2021
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The diversification benefit of owning both stocks and bonds has historically helped investors navigate adverse market conditions between the two asset classes.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Snapshot: February 12, 2021
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Read the Weekly Market Snapshot to stay up-to-date with stock markets and sectors, bond market returns and financial news for the week.
Market Outlooks
Market Week in Review: An outstanding performance: Q4 earnings season shattering expectations
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Market Week in Review is a weekly market update on global investment news in a quick five-minute video format. It gives you easy access to some of our top investment strategists.