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Market Outlooks
The Fed’s new framework and its evolving reaction function
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Amid an accelerating election season, ongoing pandemic and a return to partisan gridlock, the Federal Reserve (Fed) has been a bit less prominent in the news cycle lately. However, at the central bank’s annual August retreat in Jackson Hole, Chairman Jerome Powell announced amendments to the Fed’s Statement on Longer-Run Goals and Monetary Policy Strategy, which had been largely unchanged since 2012. At a recent mini-forum on this topic, we discussed the significance of this change and its implications for future Fed policy and for investors.
Client Relationships
Help needed: Hiring an executive assistant
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Many of you have succeeded in your practice by wearing multiple hats. But playing the part of CEO, CMO, COO and advisor all at the same time can be exhausting. That’s where an executive assistant, or EA for short, can come in to provide you with better leverage for your time and results for your business. Blake Stratton joins the podcast to share behind-the-scenes insights into how to hire, work with and delegate to a world-class executive assistant. You may think you can’t afford to hire, but you might learn you can’t afford not to hire an EA for you and your practice.
Fixed Income Insights
October Fixed Income Market Update
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In our view, while economic data has been generally improving, higher frequency data such as elevated jobless claims and small business employment highlight the risk that the recovery could stall absent additional fiscal stimulus. Given tensions and political posturing entering the last stages of election season, short-term we believe risk premiums should be higher on the margin until resolution of the election.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Ballot Initiatives: Buyer Beware
While early voting lines might be much longer this year (multiple news outlets reported massive waits in Florida on Monday, for example, where it was the first day of early voting), voters’ actual ballots could be much shorter.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: The UK walks away from talks with the EU, but there is still hope that a trade deal can be salvaged
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Last week was a critical one in the ongoing Brexit odyssey. As the UK hurtles towards the end of 2020 (which will mark its exit from the European Union), it has been negotiating with the EU on the terms of their future trading relationship.
Market Outlooks
BMO Market Charts- October 19, 2020
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The Technology sector has contributed 94% of the S&P 500’s YTD return and currently has a 28% weighting in the index. The remaining ten sectors, on average, have contributed less than 1%.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Snapshot: October 16, 2020
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Read the Weekly Market Snapshot to stay up-to-date with stock markets and sectors, bond market returns and financial news for the week.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields fall due to rising coronavirus cases and stalled stimulus
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U.S. Treasury yields declined across the yield curve last week, led by longer maturities. Markets are concerned about rising COVID-19 case counts in the U.S. and Europe, stalemated U.S. fiscal stimulus negotiations and the pausing of several coronavirus drug and vaccine trials.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Rising uncertainty slows economic acceleration
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Although the news trended in a negative direction last week, stocks held their ground and eked out modest gains, with the S&P 500 Index climbing 0.2%. Coronavirus cases have been rising in parts of the U.S. and throughout Europe, although mortality trends have been improving.