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Market Outlooks
What history will COVID-19 write?
The COVID-19 pandemic has made history in more ways than one, including catalyzing an economic downturn that cost the US more than 20 million jobs and a policy response that saw the Federal Government pass the $2.1 trillion CARES Act, the largest ever US economic rescue package. That said, we don’t think COVID-19 is finished filling up our history books. We think the long-term consequences of the virus could prove much more meaningful than what we have seen to date.
Fixed Income Insights
EM Debt: Downturns, Defaults & Diamonds in the Rough
Barings’ Omotunde Lawal and Cem Karacadag explain how COVID-19 is impacting the economies of emerging markets, and how lower oil prices and loose monetary policies may influence the future default picture.
Fixed Income Insights
EM Short-dated Debt: A Diamond in the Rough?
COVID-19 and lower oil prices have led to indiscriminate selling across EM corporate debt, creating a potentially compelling opportunity in the shorter-dated, higher-yielding segment of the market.
Alternative Investments
Global Real Estate: Cyclical & Structural Impacts of COVID-19
As investors navigate global real estate markets in the months and years ahead, understanding the interplay between near-term cyclical weakness and long-term structural trends will be key.
Fixed Income Insights
What's Next for Private Credit?
Now that the proverbial rubber has met the road, many investors are questioning what’s in store for private credit in the months (and years) ahead. In many ways, the current volatility is setting the stage for significant opportunities—but managing the downside is critical.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: The WPA put millions back to work during the Great Depression. Could this be a model for 2020 and beyond?
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Unemployment rates for many countries are sky high and likely to remain high for some time.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
The Impact of COVID-19 on State Budgets Will Ripple to the Broader Economy
What type of economic recovery will the U.S. see in the coming months? U, V, or W—or will it be more like a swoosh?
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields rise on hopes for a vaccine
This piece is approved to use with clients.
U.S. Treasury yields rose last week, as investors expressed optimism regarding developing a COVID-19 vaccine. The first 20-year Treasury issue in decades was auctioned on Wednesday, with the issue’s yield ending the week slightly lower.