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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Recession indicators: Delayed, not dismissed
Quick takes on capital markets
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
May CPI report: Inflation deceleration paves the way for a policy pause in June
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However, core inflation is proving significantly stickier and remains above 5%...
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
June FOMC meeting: A very hawkish pause
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Market response.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Debt limit deal: The aftermath
With inflation remaining sticky and the labor market proving extremely resilient, a further policy rate hike is likely from here, while a rate cut this year is almost certainly not in the cards.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
May FOMC meeting: Powell keeps the market on its toes
After having raised policy rates ten times, by a total of 500 basis points, in just 14 months, the Fed is getting close to wrapping up this tightening cycle—but may not be finished just yet.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
May ECB meeting: Hawkish step down, and no pause ahead
The European Central Bank (ECB) raised its three key policy rates for the seventh consecutive time, opting to step-down the increment to 25 basis points (bps)