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Policy and Regulatory Commentary
What Happens if the Electoral College is a Tie?
The final set of questions in last night’s presidential debate – if you made it to the end of the 90-minute slugfest – was about the peaceful transition of power, and whether there would be one on January 20, 2020, inauguration day.
Fixed Income Insights
Fed Moves to Average Inflation Targeting
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Fed policymakers will not tighten monetary policy until inflation remains above 2% and job gains are robust.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
The election, the markets, and the economy: you’ve got questions, we’ve got answers
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
The Fight to Replace RBG
After a career of service as a distinguished jurist and, later in life, a cultural icon, Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg passed away on Friday, September 18, in the early hours of Rosh Hashanah, the Jewish new year.
Fixed Income Insights
Interest rates: Lower for longer...or forever?
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On September 16, 2020, the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) left interest rates near zero and signaled that it expects to hold them there through at least 2023, adding outcome based guidance. The statement follows the new long-term policy framework announced by Chair Jay Powell in August at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City’s annual Jackson Hole conference. The Fed notes that rates will remain near zero “until labor market conditions have reached levels consistent with the Committee’s assessments of maximum employment and inflation has risen to 2 percent and is on track to moderately exceed 2 percent for some time.” We didn’t get a precise definition of what a moderate overshoot would look like, allowing the Fed to retain some flexibility.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Looking forward
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The Fed sharpens its new policy framework with strong forward guidance.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Is there a limit to government spending?
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A growing federal deficit could be concerning if inflation starts to heat up.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
6 reasons yields may stay range-bound
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It starts with the Fed.
Fixed Income Insights
Can EM Issuers Pay Their Debt—And Will They?
Emerging markets have been hit hard by COVID-19 but opportunities exist for investors able to navigate choppy waters. In this episode, Dr. Ricardo Adrogue assesses EM issuers’ ability to satisfy their debt obligations—and just as importantly, their willingness to do so.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
The Payroll Holiday That Isn’t
Amidst a stalemate between the two parties on Capitol Hill regarding additional COVID-related legislation, President Donald Trump on August 8 issued an executive memorandum policy that said U.S. workers would not have to pay their Social Security payroll taxes from September 1, 2020 until December 31, 2020.