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Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: You can't be too prepared as the debt deadline nears
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As the June 1 “X date” approaches, one thing investors can be certain of is that more uncertainty lies ahead. We can expect further volatility across equity and fixed income markets until we have greater clarity on the outcome — and probable impacts — of the U.S. debt ceiling negotiations.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Update: Global Stocks Decline as Some U.S. Regional Banks Falter, U.S. Inflation Report Scheduled This Week
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Bank unease resurfaced again last week. U.S. inflation is expected to be flat, while core inflation may fall slightly.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Fed ready to rein in but not reverse rates
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In the first quarter, our Global Investment Committee upgraded its outlook on emerging markets equity and debt, a view we still hold. Last week’s likely pause in Fed rate hikes could be a catalyst for further weakening of the U.S. dollar, which has already declined about 6% from its October 2022 high relative to EM currencies.
Market Outlooks
Investment Perspective: Approaching Stall Speed
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We favor high yield bonds and natural resource stocks as inflation still shows persistence, earnings expectations deteriorate and worries mount over a stalling U.S. economy.
Market Outlooks
Volatility Faded in April, Fed and ECB Expected to Hike Rates This Week
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Market volatility declined in April as fears about the banking sector subsided. The Fed and ECB likely will look to balance inflation and economic concerns with rate moves.
Market Outlooks
The Fed hikes once more
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Tony Rodriguez summarizes the outcome of the latest U.S. Federal Reserve meeting.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Opportunities for when the Fed’s recession knocks
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This anticipated environment of interest rate stability could (we hope and expect) create attractive opportunities in the taxable fixed income arena. In particular, we favor spread sectors that offer compelling yields that should avoid excessive spread widening — even during the mild recession we anticipate will occur later in 2023.