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Market Outlooks
Fixed Income Market Update
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U.S. economic data surprised to the upside in December with strong employment and growth results and the Fed remained on hold as expected. Progress on tariffs and U.K. election results lowered geopolitical noise for the time being. These developments led to continued improvement in risk sentiment.
Market Outlooks
Low volatility equities: Why now, why active?
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Against the backdrop of a continuing bull market in equities, investor uncertainty has increased with a number of key economic and geopolitical risks, resulting in rising market volatility.
Investors have logically sought to de-risk* portfolios, and given the low interest rate environment, they have rotated significant amounts of money into defensive equities, resulting in stretched valuations for certain pockets of these stocks. At the same time, equity upside remains attractive as accommodative policy and the potential for trade resolution between the U.S. and China could support future gains. As a result, investors now face three competing objectives: how to de-risk portfolios, without overpaying for defensive equities, while maintaining equity upside.
Market Outlooks
A brave new Fed
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What does an inverted yield curve tell us? And how much should we plan for a recession? In this episode, we dive into current events in the fixed income markets and what it means for portfolios and clients.
Market Outlooks
Growth vs. Value in global developed markets
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Since the mid-1970s, value stocks have generally outperformed growth stocks in developed markets around the globe. The current cycle of growth’s outperformance, starting in 2007, has had both the longest duration and highest magnitude in history.
Market Outlooks
Global Corporate Debt
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US Dollar denominated corporate debt has the highest yield and makes up 66% of global issuance, underscoring its attractiveness in this low rate environment.
Fixed Income Insights
Did the Fed just go Minority Report?
We believe the Fed is taking a risk — one we hope works — in shifting from reactive to preemptive monetary policy. It was not that long ago that the Fed was more forthright about the uncertainty inherent in economic forecasting as Chairman Powell used the analogy of walking into a dark room and slowing down to avoid furniture as an analogy for the Fed’s situation. Today, they seem more certain that they know the future and aim to alter it.
Market Outlooks
BMO International Insights - Crazy global environment merits cautious approach
The IMF believes the world has too much debt, trade wars are destabilizing and anti-growth, monetary policy has run its course and productivity growth remains comfortably below historic norms.
Behavioral Finance
Money mindset: Using behavioral economics to help investors succeed
Theory tells us that humans are generally rational beings and that they make decisions from an optimal perspective. This podcast discusses how the concept affects the investment decision-making process and how advisors can use a client’s biases to lead better conversations.
Behavioral Finance
The Bid: Can money make you happier?
It’s a timeless question that’s puzzled people from Cicero in Ancient Rome to rappers like Kendrick Lamar today: Can money really make you happier?
Market Outlooks
The Bid: Is the U.S. Leading a New Market Regime?
In this episode of The Bid, Chief Investment Strategist Richard Turnill joins us to discuss the shift in momentum from global to domestic, and what this might mean for markets.
Investing Ideas
The Bid: Maxing the Factors of Market Outperformance
How can investors beat the market? One group at BlackRock is challenging the notion of traditional stock picking, instead zeroing in on certain factors to help lead to outperformance.