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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Inflation Went Wild; Here’s How It Might Be Tamed
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As inflation begins to moderate, Olga and Hugo examine the structural forces shaping the medium-term outlook in four categories: energy, housing, goods, and services.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Economic data leave Treasury yields mixed
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U.S. Treasury yields rose last week amid positive economic data.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields are mixed on varied economic data
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The U.S. Treasury curve flattened amid hawkish central bank rhetoric and mixed economic data. U.S. jobless claims have increased materially in recent weeks, while the housing market showed unexpected strength.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
May CPI report: Inflation deceleration paves the way for a policy pause in June
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However, core inflation is proving significantly stickier and remains above 5%...
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
June FOMC meeting: A very hawkish pause
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Market response.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: A Fed pause boosts Treasury yields
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U.S. Treasury yields rose after the U.S. Federal Reserve announced a “hawkish hold” at its June meeting. U.S. economic data remain mixed, with inflation reporting in line with expectations and jobless claims remaining elevated.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields rise, markets watch the Fed
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U.S. Treasury yields rose despite softer economic data ahead of this week’s U.S. Federal Reserve meeting. We expect officials to keep rates unchanged but to take a hawkish tone.