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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Anatomy of a Recession: Is Labor Market Economic Kevlar or Achilles Heel?
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ClearBridge Investments: While the labor market remains an economic bright spot, the Federal Reserve (Fed) may continue its tightening policy until more signs emerge that job growth and wages are experiencing substantial slowdowns.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Anatomy of a Recession Long View: Are we there yet?
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The current bear market is in its early stages with multiple compression driving losses so far. Where equities ultimately bottom will depend on how well the economy holds up and the trajectory of corporate earnings.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Anatomy of a Recession: Will the consumer bend or break?
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The labor market is a key area ClearBridge Investments are scrutinizing for signs that aggressive action by the Fed is dampening inflation.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Anatomy of a Recession: Not Your Father’s Energy Crisis
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The economic outlook bears little resemblance to the early pandemic, with consumption and business activity likely to slow from elevated levels but remain positive.
Market Outlooks
The More Things Change...
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The disappointing August jobs report was primarily due to the Delta variant, but sets up a potential goldilocks scenario for investors.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: What Will Kill This Market?
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Something will at some point, but the most plausible downside scenarios still look like a stretch for this year and next.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: The Emerging Markets Recovery & The Race Ahead
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With the Fed’s “tapering” clock now officially ticking, many Emerging Markets face an even more urgent challenge to tackle the pandemic.