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Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: Vlog: Quarter-end Q&A 4Q2019
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Tim Holland, CFA, asks and answers those questions we think will be top of mind for clients as they open their quarterly statements and think back on the quarter that was:
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: Top 10 blog posts of 2019
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From market perspectives with the weekly wire to behavioral finance and technology insights, these are our top 10 blog posts of 2019.
Behavioral Finance
Should I be worried? An investor litmus test
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As a child, I remember seeing my mother’s wooden plaque of The Serenity Prayer that she kept above our kitchen sink. For those not familiar with this popular prayer, it reads...
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Global Monetary Policy: Easing Like Sunday Morning
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In anticipation of the Federal Reserve lowering rates next week at their meeting and the announcement this week that the European Central Bank (ECB) reduced rates to -0.50% and increased their purchasing of bonds a month, we believe it to be worthwhile to look at where we may be headed in policy and market action. Now we may be accused of being a bit presumptive about a future event such as an interest rate cut next week, however, we feel a bit confident in that the market is currently pricing in a 99.9% chance of a rate cut according to the Fed Fund Futures.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Is ESG A Magic Green Button?
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Have you read any research on ESG investing recently? If you have, then you’ll know that academic studies continue to stress the positive alpha-generating potential of ESG factors.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Contrarian Market Signals: What is certain about uncertainty?
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Contrary to narratives bombarding the markets right now, certain indicators are historically very bullish for equity assets. Though the anxiety about the flock of “black swans” being right around the corner helps to mitigate over exuberance, it astonishes me how many times we forget the previous prognostications and make new cases for the failed projection. Recently, I have been reflecting on Mark Twain’s quote: “I've had a lot of worries in my life, most of which never happened.”
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Look Beyond the Volatility to Find Return
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Periods of volatility in fixed income and equity markets are nothing new but with each one comes a parade of teeth gnashing and hand wringing by experts extolling the virtues of selected investments while simultaneously predicting events often referred to as being much more dire than those we are experiencing at the moment. It seems, more often than not, that such bold predictions make for good headlines but rarely for investment results.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Reasonable Municipal Downgrades?
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For the past several months, the rating agencies have been imposing new standards in the ratings of municipal revenue bonds by imposing ceilings on these ratings linked to the issuer’s general obligation (GO) pledge. This has resulted in downgrades of some well-known, and not-so-well-known, issuers despite no change in the fundamental credit profile of the revenue bond, or the related general obligation bond, issuer. In fact, some of these downgrades occurred in the face of an improving credit profile.
Behavioral Finance
There is never a good time to invest
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Consider something you’ve always wanted to do but you’ve put off doing because it scares you. In fact, just think of something you’d eventually like to do but haven’t yet, since you may not even be aware of all your reasons for not having embarked on that journey just yet.
Behavioral Finance
The 5 money maps
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It is my hope that as we are better able to map the landscape of love and money, we will increasingly have a scaffolding for having better conversations about where and why our attitudes may differ.
Market Outlooks
Baby boom – Great for economic growth, but there isn’t one in sight
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At a high level, two factors drive economic growth: 1. growth in a labor force (e.g. more people working this year versus last year) 2. growth in productivity (e.g. people producing more this year versus last year). So, the basic formula for growing an economy is people + productivity = economic growth.
Behavioral Finance
Love and money
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Have you had a disagreement with a loved one recently about money? If so, you’re hardly alone. An American Express survey found money took the top worry spot among married couples (33%), far outpacing the second-place intimacy (11%), children (9%), and troubles with in-laws (4%).