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Policy and Regulatory Commentary
SALT May Make an Infrastructure Package a Bitter Pill to Swallow
Both chambers of Congress still have to achieve majority support for these two massive packages — and some of the White House’s tax plans, which have been proposed to pay for trillions of dollars in infrastructure spending, are deeply unpopular within the president’s own party.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Israel may provide a preview of what’s to come in the US and UK — and in any country that achieves broad vaccine distribution.
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A month ago, I wrote about the great progress Israel was making in terms of inoculating its citizens against COVID-19. At the time, I said that we would want to follow economic data in Israel closely for indications of what the US and UK could expect in the near future — as they are making swift progress in vaccinating their respective populations — as well as what any country can expect once it successfully vaccinates a significant portion of its population.
Market Outlooks
Schumer’s Gambit, and Infrastructure Week
President Joe Biden is outlining a $4 trillion infrastructure plan that will include items like universal pre-kindergarten, significant investments in addressing climate change as well as tax increases to pay for this spending. In other words: items, that along with the overall size of the package, will raise the hackles of Republicans in Congress.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Investors may be grateful for the Fed’s easy money, but they’re also wary about what might come next.
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If you had to quickly describe the relationship status between investors and the Federal Reserve, your best bet might simply be: “It’s complicated.”
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: The economy may not truly turn the page until spring
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It might be 2021, but it doesn’t feel like a new year in many parts of the world. We haven’t yet turned the page on all the difficulties of the past year, so it seems like we are stuck in 2020. Or as my colleague aptly put it, this is just Dec. 49, 2020.
Market Outlooks
Congressional Review Act: Democrats Leave Key Regulatory Tool On Table—Why?
Many Democrats on Capitol Hill, and the party’s left flank, are itching to eliminate the legislative filibuster in order to get the Biden agenda into law.
Investing Ideas
Investing in founder-led companies
It may align with your goals to consider companies run by their founders.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
The Coming Infrastructure Package Could Have Significant Tax Implications
President Joe Biden has made it clear his next priority, after signing a $1.9 trillion COVID-19 relief bill into law last week, is a massive infrastructure package.
Investing Ideas
Understanding bitcoin
The cryptocurrency shares some similarities with gold but be aware of the risks.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Seven reasons I expect a powerful US economic recovery in 2021.
This piece is approved to use with clients.
I periodically walk into stores to get a sense of how the US economy is doing. This past weekend I walked into a car dealership in my area. I chatted with a car salesman who has worked in the industry for more than 50 years. He shared that this is a very strange economic environment — car purchases have increased (he had already sold four cars that day), but so have the number of people stopping by to see if there are any job openings, who say they’ve been out of work for six or nine months.