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Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Biotechnology: An Enduring Growth Theme
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Traditional technology may enhance our lifestyles, but biotechnology could directly impact our quality of life.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Humans Fear the Virus. Markets Fear the Panic.
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It seems daily, if not hourly, the global panic surrounding the COVID-19 virus is spiking. Fear has gripped our world and has seemingly taken over. The virus is not the problem, the fear of the virus is the problem. This is a classic case of perception becoming reality.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Are Bonds Smarter Than Stocks?
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Prior to the outbreak of the coronavirus, the domestic economy appeared to be on solid footing with reasonable growth prospects and no inflation in sight (as measured by the Fed). Since that time, economic impacts regarding the spread of the virus have taken center stage as interruptions to supply chains and global travel have been felt to varying degrees around the globe.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: The Sky is Falling! The Sky is Falling!
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Ok, maybe not (yet), but falling acorns in the form of the coronavirus and recent data showing decelerating U.S. business activity has many rethinking their asset allocation – especially income seeking investors.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Small Business Optimism Posts a Third Year of Strong Readings
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Over the past few years I’ve written about trends in small businesses based on the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) Survey of Small Business Economic Trends. I follow these trends because I come from a family with multiple generations of small business owners and small companies in the United States create about two-thirds of net new jobs, drive innovation and account for 44% of U.S. economic activity.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Coronavirus and Domestic Credit
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The last recession was the sub-prime mortgage crisis, before that the dot.com bubble aggravated by the 9/11 terrorist attacks, and before that it was the Savings & Loan crisis. In these past recessions there were, at the time, issues not generally foreseen, but when they broke it opened fissures in the economy that ultimately led to a recession.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Is Recent Bond Market Volatility About More Than Easing Coronavirus Fears?
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As fear gives way to resolve and markets assess the potential economic impact of the coronavirus, a risk on mentality has taken hold with global equity markets taking back losses and global bond markets selling off in concert. While these fears are sometimes a bit irrational, the Center for Disease Control and Prevention estimates 12,000-61,000 Americans have died from influenza since 2010, there is no doubt we can all understand the underlying fear.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Current Events Overshadowing a Nascent Recovery
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While we have previously mentioned, I feel it is important to revisit the race between the results of the FOMC’s (Federal Open Market Committee) model-driven restrictive policy in 2018 and the potential recovery borne of the Fed’s 2019 mea culpa.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Generational Opportunity Now and for the Next Decade?
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For most asset classes, 2019 was a terrific year for prices. Generally, the equity and bond markets enjoyed a significant surge that all but replaced their terrible performance in the 4th quarter of 2018.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Attempting to Right-Size Expectations
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A quick canvas of the headlines and sound bites detailing market outlooks for 2020 includes some positivity but also many phrases, such as: get more defensive, returns will be muted, now is not a good time to be investing and don’t expect a repeat of 2019 anytime soon.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: 2020 Earnings Outlook
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Tis the season for outlooks and one of the more dependable indicators for the equity market over time has been the direction of corporate earnings. Not surprisingly, as the earnings power of U.S. corporations has grown, equity prices have moved higher.