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Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: The WPA put millions back to work during the Great Depression. Could this be a model for 2020 and beyond?
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Unemployment rates for many countries are sky high and likely to remain high for some time.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: US-China tensions could be the biggest risk to US stocks this year
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In the last several weeks, stocks have exhibited weakness and higher volatility. I am convinced that rising US-China tensions are behind this, and that the potential for a reignition of the US-China tariff war could be the single biggest risk to the US stock market this year.
Behavioral Finance
Invest for The Decade, Not the Year
Sharing helpful data like decade-returns of the market can motivate investors to focus on the long-term and avoid costly behavioral mistakes.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Some countries and states are easing lockdowns, while politicians debate what to do next
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One month ago in this blog, I noted that April would be a critical month to gauge the global response to the COVID-19 pandemic.
Market Outlooks
The Government Responds with Extraordinary Measures
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The Federal Reserve and Washington lawmakers have taken dramatic steps to counteract the effects of the COVID-19 virus on the economy.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Congress readies for negotiations over the next stimulus bill, while governors decide when and how to re-open state economies
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For months, I have talked about the importance of policy in combatting the COVID-19 crisis: health policy, monetary policy, and fiscal policy.
Behavioral Finance
Behavioral Advisor Perspectives and Practices: Practical Planning Is Your Compass
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The next several weeks are going to be challenging for advisors and investors. The reality of the scope and severity of the pandemic along with the associated economic and market damage will hit home raising fear levels to new highs. In these times, it will be hard not to overreact, panic or lose hope. Strong emotions and behavioral biases including, anchoring, loss aversion, cascading and availability bias can cloud our thinking and lead to poor decision making. Engaging in realistic and practical planning discussions along with relevant behavioral coaching can provide essential support during these challenging times.
Market Outlooks
Behavioral Advisor Perspectives and Practices: Drawdown, Turbulence and Recovery
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Everyone breathed a sigh of relief as markets had several positive days. Don’t be surprised, however, if markets drop suddenly and test or breach previous lows several times over the next few weeks or months. Much like flying through a thunderstorm, there are likely to be some bumpy times ahead. No matter how many times you have flown, your heart jumps every time the aircraft drops. Fortunately, there is no need to time the bottom for long-term investors.
Market Outlooks
Behavioral Advisor Perspectives and Practices: Stay Invested Through the Rocky Bottom
One of the biggest challenges for investors is staying invested as markets sell off. Every up and down swing creates strong emotional reactions and constant second guessing. Periods of high volatility can last for weeks or months and are emotionally draining. While it may feel like you are doing nothing by staying invested during these periods, you are likely avoiding costly mistakes by not compounding an already difficult situation.
Behavioral Finance
Behavioral Advisor Perspectives and Practices: Responding vs. Reacting
Beneficial long-term decisions often feel counter-intuitive at the time, but don’t underestimate the value of a steady hand when things seem the most grim.
Goals/Needs-Based Investing
Behavioral Advisor Perspectives and Practices for Uncharted Waters
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These are uncertain times. We work with great advisors that have shared their observations and resources with us and we thought you might find some of this helpful.