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Market Outlooks
Sleeping at Night? Consider Adding an Absolute Return Strategy
Perhaps the most concerning issue for multi-asset investors as we turn to 2023 is diversification—or the lack thereof in recent times. And while this is not the first time that the “traditional” correlation between U.S. Treasuries and equity markets has broken down—people tend to pay less attention when both are producing positive returns—it has been one of the worst years on record for the total return of a 60/40 portfolio in 2022.Herein lies the merits of discussing an absolute return approach with clients.
Market Outlooks
Global Convictions: January 2023 Asset Class Research
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Heading into 2023, bearish sentiment among investors is coming off a very low base, with some of the worst recorded data since tracking started 35 years ago. With a contrarian lens, this could be a positive. However, while the overall valuation landscape has undoubtedly improved, there are many assets which remain around fair value. In such an environment, we continue to balance opportunities against risks.
Market Outlooks
MarketScape: Why January's Rise May Mask a Riskier Reality
January has all the hallmarks of a classic “junk rally”. Chief Investment Officer of Global Equities Mike Hunstad, Ph.D., reminds investors that some rallies during times of economic stress may not be what they seem.
Market Outlooks
2023 Outlook: A Pivotal Year
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Northern Trust expects turbulence as inflation and monetary policy fears pivot to a weak global economy, but also to lower inflation and central bank pauses.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Update: US Stocks Lead Global Equity Decline, US Debt Ceiling Talks May Spur Volatility
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Stocks in Europe and China this year are providing support. After the U.S. government hit its debt ceiling last week, investors may face volatility with potentially tense political negotiations.
Market Outlooks
Investment Perspective: Watching Wages
Inflation tied to wage growth remains resistant to central bank taming.
Market Outlooks
Yields Fall on Signs of Lower Inflation, US Report Expected to Show Slowing Inflation
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Government bond yields in the U.S. and Germany fell last week while stocks rose. U.S. Consumer Price Index year-over-year inflation for December is expected to fall from November.