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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Recession indicators: Delayed, not dismissed
Quick takes on capital markets
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Can earnings continue to bend without markets breaking?
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Earnings growth looks poised to decline for the third quarter in a row and may mark its biggest drop since the second quarter of 2020.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
May CPI report: Inflation deceleration paves the way for a policy pause in June
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However, core inflation is proving significantly stickier and remains above 5%...
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
June FOMC meeting: A very hawkish pause
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Market response.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: The 60/40 portfolio: What’s old is new again
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The ongoing viability of the traditional 60/40 stock/bond portfolio has been debated before, but in 2022 the venerable allocation suffered its worst year since the global financial crisis amid an equity bear market and sharply higher interest rates.
Market Outlooks
Anatomy of a Recession: Economic and Market Outlook Flyer - June 2023
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ClearBridge Investments, one of Franklin Templeton’s specialist investment managers, utilizes 12 different economic indicators to assess the risk of recession.
Market Outlooks
AOR Update: Labor market cracks emerging
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ClearBridge Investments: Despite continued strong headline numbers suggesting labor market resilience, we believe an upward trend in initial jobless claims signals weakness ahead.