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Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Out With The Old Congress, In with the New
Having potentially overridden President Donald Trump’s veto of the National Defense Authorization Act (the House did so last night; the Senate is likely to follow suit in the days ahead), and with President Trump signing the COVID relief and omnibus spending bill into law on Sunday evening – five days after releasing a video in which he threatened to pocket veto the bill – the 116th Congress is now almost officially in the books.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Working on “Political Time”
As all of Washington – and, in fact, the United States – awaits news from the Capitol confirming that leaders in Congress have formally reached an agreement on another COVID relief bill, an infuriating truth is once again resurfaced.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: A Secret Plan for America’s New China Policy
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It’s based on the reviled and maligned Trans-Pacific Partnership, so don’t tell anyone.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
A Team of Rivals? No
“To me it appears evident that an executive ministry composed of men with the qualifications I have described would speedily restore the credit of government abroad and at home, would induce our allies to greater exertions in our behalf, would inspire confidence in monied men in Europe as well as in America to lend us ⟨those⟩ sums of which it may be demonstrated we ⟨stand⟩ in need from the disproportion of our national wealth to the expenses of the War.”
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Why it’s so Hard to go Bankrupt… And Why That Will Change
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Massive policy response has firms awash in liquidity, but 2021 will bring solvency challenges that investors need to watch closely.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Congress’ Cup Runeth Over
Last week, we discussed midnight regulations – last-minute rulemakings rushed through federal agencies by departing presidents in the twilights of their terms.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
In D.C., It’s Almost Midnight
With more states certifying their 2020 election results this week, President Donald Trump announced that he would allow the official transition to the Biden administration to start.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Europe Pivots from Brexit to Biden
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The President-elect says "America's back," but Europeans (and global investors) ask "how long?"