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Market Outlooks
Banking Turmoil: Outlook and Investment Implications
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While the full impact of the turmoil in the banking industry and the Fed’s response is still unknowable, we are gaining perspective on its economic impact, and thus its investment implications.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
3 Points About China
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Clamping down on China has become a bipartisan effort in the United States, but I believe an outright conflict between China and Taiwan is a low-probability (albeit high-impact) event—and I remain constructive on the bottom-up, long-term investment opportunities in China, including the transition to a domestic-consumption-driven and lower-carbon economy.
Market Outlooks
Anatomy of a Recession Update: Soft Landing Head Fake or the Real McCoy?
ClearBridge Investments continue to believe a recession is more likely than a soft landing, given many of these data points are lagging or coincident in nature.
Market Outlooks
Anatomy of a Recession Update: Headwind, Not a Hurricane
While the housing market has been on the leading edge of the current downturn, the threat of higher interest rates will likely be somewhat muted as borrowers shift away from adjustable-rate mortgages.
Market Outlooks
A Ripe Environment for Value Valuations
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As investors who employ a bottom-up process when seeking quality companies, we’re intrigued with the growing valuation discount between our portfolios and their respective indices. We find it compelling that today we can purchase a higher-quality portfolio for a discounted price relative to the index, creating an attractive entry point for our actively managed small- to mid-cap value strategies. But before we get to that, let’s take a step back and look at how we got here.
Market Outlooks
Lessons From a Chaotic Year
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Olga and Hugo review their predictions and explore what surprised them in 2022, focusing on gross domestic product (GDP), interest rates, earnings growth, energy prices, and the dollar.