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Policy and Regulatory Commentary
The U.S.-China relationship in a changing global economy
This piece is approved to use with clients.
An inevitable blame game between the U.S. and China has followed COVID-19, but the crisis has really just extended the “trust deficit” that has been steadily building between the two countries in recent years. Though the “Phase One” agreement between the countries remains intact, it is very fragile and China is turning to a more domestic focus. The U.S.-China relationship, however, remains pivotal for the global economy, and in our mini-forum devoted to the topic, we began with a discussion of the relationship from China’s perspective.
Fixed Income Insights
Fixed Income Market Update
This piece is approved to use with clients.
In our view, monetary and fiscal policy have done a tremendous job in papering over fundamental uncertainty. Read more for the news & nuggets
Fixed Income Insights
Municipal Fixed Income: Bluebirds fly
This piece is approved to use with clients.
We focus on the strong recovery in the muni market over the second quarter, which proved to be illuminating to municipal investors on a couple fronts.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
U.S. presidential election outlook
This piece is approved to use with clients.
As the 2020 election season heats up and President Trump’s odds of winning continue to run cold, we believe it is important to understand the investment implications of a potential change in government versus the status quo. We have outlined the policy implications of the three most likely election outcomes: a Democratic sweep, a Biden presidency with a Republican Senate and a Trump presidency with a Republican Senate. This analysis assumes that Democrats hold the House, which we believe is highly likely.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Biden goes the predictable route
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After a lengthy vetting process, Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden selected Senator Kamala Harris as his running mate for the 2020 presidential election. Though many names were floated in the past month, Harris has long been considered a favorite for the VP pick. Harris, a 2020 candidate for president herself, fits the bill as an experienced politician with liberal credentials and a knack for fundraising. In the past Biden spoke about the need to pick a VP who could lead the country if needed, and her experience in California state government and the U.S. Senate, as well as her national profile, make her a natural choice.
Market Outlooks
Behavioural Advisor: Beware Predictions and Magic Elixirs
The market and economy have gone through unprecedented events with a global pandemic, the shut-down of economies, massive government intervention and dramatic market swings.
Market Outlooks
July Market Insight Update Call
As we have seen the markets continue their rapid recovery, COVID-19 cases continue to rise as some states have tried to ease their social distancing restrictions. What does it all mean for investors? Hear Russ Koesterich, CFA, JD, Portfolio Manager at BlackRock share his outlook for the markets as we continue to navigate through this pandemic.
Market Outlooks
Market Insight Update Call
As the markets continue to plug along, despite some frightening economic data points, many investors have a feeling the market recovery is "too good to be true". In case you missed the call yesterday, hear Tim Clift, Chief Investment Strategist of Envestnet | PMC, give his outlook on the markets and the economy and what he'’ll be keeping an eye on as we navigate through these unprecedented times.
Market Outlooks
Replay Market Monitor – Evaluating Opportunities and Risks
Today’s market has eclipsed both the Global Financial Crisis and Tech Bubble in terms of the underperformance of value investing - this call is an opportunity to hear directly from the investment team how BMO interprets these events and reacts to them via proprietary tools and processes.