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Market Outlooks
Yields Fall on Signs of Lower Inflation, US Report Expected to Show Slowing Inflation
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Government bond yields in the U.S. and Germany fell last week while stocks rose. U.S. Consumer Price Index year-over-year inflation for December is expected to fall from November.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Anatomy of a Recession: Is Labor Market Economic Kevlar or Achilles Heel?
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ClearBridge Investments: While the labor market remains an economic bright spot, the Federal Reserve (Fed) may continue its tightening policy until more signs emerge that job growth and wages are experiencing substantial slowdowns.
Market Outlooks
Global Equities Gain, European Central Bank May Increase Rate
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U.S. equity gains led global stocks, as the two-year Treasury yield fell. The European Central Bank is anticipated to boost its rate by 0.75%.
Market Outlooks
Global Stocks Rebound, U.S. Inflation Expected to Moderate
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Investors now give over a 90% chance of a 0.75% Fed hike later this month. U.S. inflation in August may fall from July on a year-over-year basis.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Jackson Hole Comments Contribute to Stock Decline, U.S. Jobs Market Expected to Remain Strong
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Investors give about a 65% chance of a 0.75% Fed rate hike in September. The U.S. jobs report on Friday is expected to show 3.5% unemployment and 300,000 jobs added.