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Market Outlooks
Navigating market risks and opportunities ahead of a recession
With increasing economic uncertainty and market volatility in the first quarter of 2023, the probability of a mild recession beginning in the second half of the year or early next continues to rise.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
May FOMC meeting: Powell keeps the market on its toes
After having raised policy rates ten times, by a total of 500 basis points, in just 14 months, the Fed is getting close to wrapping up this tightening cycle—but may not be finished just yet.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
May ECB meeting: Hawkish step down, and no pause ahead
The European Central Bank (ECB) raised its three key policy rates for the seventh consecutive time, opting to step-down the increment to 25 basis points (bps)
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
April jobs report: Labor market strength defies Fed tightening
Market response
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
573 Days To Go: The Election Marathon Has Begun
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It may only be the second quarter of 2023, but after several announcements today and this past week, it is clear 2024 is upon us.