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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Jackson Hole Comments Contribute to Stock Decline, U.S. Jobs Market Expected to Remain Strong
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Investors give about a 65% chance of a 0.75% Fed rate hike in September. The U.S. jobs report on Friday is expected to show 3.5% unemployment and 300,000 jobs added.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
With Less Than 10 Weeks Until Election Day, Are Democrats Really Surging?
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Are Democrats really headed into this fall’s election in a stronger place than they were three months ago? And how do today’s polls compare to surveys at the same time four years ago when a first term Republican president faced his first midterm election cycle? Let’s take a look.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Redistricting Fights Won't End this November
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Following yesterday’s primaries in New York and Florida, only a handful of U.S. states still have not yet held their primary elections, which means that voters in most states now have a very good idea who will be on their general election ballots this November.
Market Outlooks
Lower U.S. Inflation Supports Stocks, Consumer Goods Firms to Report Earnings
July inflation fell below estimates and declined from June. Walmart, Home Depot and Target are scheduled to report earnings as investors track inflation’s effect on companies.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
An End to the Build Back Better Saga?
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After more than a year of intraparty negotiations, Democrats are on the cusp of enacting the Inflation Reduction Act.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Looking at the Midterm Polls as D.C. Rolls into August
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With less than 100 days remaining until Election Day, most will spend this month intensely focused on courting voters at county fairs, hometown Labor Day parades, and other events.
Fixed Income Insights
Municipal Bonds: 2023 U.S. States Outlook
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Revenue above expectations, pandemic federal aid and reserves have strengthened states' financial outlook. But states will need to prepare as pandemic aid winds down and the economy slows.