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Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Fear Itself
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This is one of those moments in markets when the news and data and price monitors spill off the screen like a bad 3-D movie and mix seamlessly with shreds of personal worries.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Metternich, Modi & Markets
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European diplomacy once centered on a theory that the best way to keep peace and stabilize financial markets was to preserve a "balance of power" that would prevent any one country from growing too strong and pushing others around. But with global supply chains—and the world's economy—under threat from epidemics, technology rifts and tariffs, President Donald Trump's efforts to balance China’s rise with a visit to India this week look very much like yesterday's answer to today's problems.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Economic Indicators Suggest President Trump's Reelection
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In testimony on Capitol Hill this week, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell repeatedly praised the strength of the U.S. economy across multiple indicators. He pointed to an historically-low unemployment rate, rising wages, and continual, moderate overall growth. Powell has a notably turbulent relationship with President Donald Trump, but his assessment should have been music to the ears of top White House and Trump campaign officials (even if the president could not help live-Tweeting his criticism of Powell’s testimony). The economy, after all, is historically perhaps the most reliable presidential election indicator.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Is America Ready for an All-Female Presidential Ticket?
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At a recent town hall event in Charleston, S.C.—the state that will hold, in just three months, the fourth nominating contest in the Democratic presidential primary contest—an attendee asked Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) whether Americans are “ready” for an all-female presidential ticket.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
An Impeachment Primer
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Moments ago, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.), flanked by the chairs of the committees of jurisdiction over the House’s impeachment inquiry over the last several months (Oversight, Intelligence, Ways and Means, Financial Services, and Judiciary) announced her intention to have the House consider two articles of impeachment against President Trump. I thought I’d provide a quick primer on what’s happened this morning and what we can expect in the days and weeks ahead.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Washington Update: Mike Bloomberg and the Self-Funded Presidential Campaign
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Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg officially entered the Democratic presidential primary last week, and it didn’t take long for his opponents to react. Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) criticized the fact that Bloomberg, who is worth an estimated $54 billion, plans to self-finance his campaign.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Washington Update: The President v. The Supreme Court
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If you think a potential federal government shutdown is the only potential calamity barreling down on Washington, D.C., think again.