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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
What are the Secondary Effects of the War? The Dreaded “Triple R”
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Fears of the dreaded “triple R” are growing—encompassing a recession, rising rates, and a loss in real household incomes. It is a dangerous time for investors, especially for those that draw a straight line from economic events to portfolio changes. We must be intentional and focused on our goals, including understanding what was already priced in and managing any risks to our convictions.
Market Outlooks
Russia & Ukraine: Our Investment Research Views
This piece is approved to use with clients.
The rapid escalation between Russia and Ukraine has dramatically shifted investor sentiment. We are witnessing a meaningful setback in key financial markets, prompting volatility and negative speculation. This is normal amid uncertainty, but it is worth stepping back to understand the fundamentals of the situation.
Fixed Income Insights
CLOs: An Attractive Floating-rate Option in a Rising Rate Environment
Curated content for RIAs.
In a rising rate environment, fixed income investors need a floating rate option. CLOs may provide the flexibility investors need to respond and benefit from potential rate hikes.
Market Outlooks
Global Perspectives: A Contrarian Approach through the COVID Recovery
Curated content for RIAs.
How an independent mindset has shaped this manager's investment approach through a volatile ‒ and unique ‒ COVID environment.
Market Outlooks
In 2022, Don't Predict. Prepare.
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Volatility, the rise and fall of prices, is inevitable. We aim to judiciously compound returns and avoid permanent capital impairment. We don’t predict. We invest.
Investing Ideas
What is a Stock Worth?
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Implications for Equity Investing at Historic Valuations
Fixed Income Insights
The Dire Outlook for Bonds in the Wake of COVID-19
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This brief update revisits the main tenets of “The Bleak Future of Bonds” paper and provides updates to some key numbers in the aftermath of the COVID-19/coronavirus crisis and what this means for portfolio construction going forward.
Behavioral Finance
Are Your Clients Experiencing FOMO?
FOMO is often discussed in relation to social media engagement, but it’s also commonly experienced by investors – particularly when stock markets are booming.