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Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: The market impact of coronavirus has begun to spread
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The floodgates are opening. Companies are beginning to warn that the coronavirus outbreak will impact earnings, and stocks have begun to react negatively. Yesterday, Apple announced that the contagion will cause it to miss revenue forecasts for the quarter. The problems are on both the sales and production ends: Most Apple stores in China remain closed, and while Apple factories there have reopened, they are not operating at full capacity but instead are slowly ramping up production. In addition, Tesla and Alibaba have recently provided coronavirus-related earnings warnings. Alibaba has gone so far as to label the coronavirus outbreak a “black swan event.”
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Three key takeaways from the Fed’s Monetary Policy Report
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In last week’s blog, I noted that what I would be following most closely that week was the release of the Federal Reserve’s Monetary Policy Report, because it provides insight on what the Fed is thinking. On Friday, the Fed released this semi-annual report in advance of Fed Chair Jay Powell’s Humphrey-Hawkins testimony before Congress on Feb. 11 and 12.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Three issues that could keep global markets reeling
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Last week was a momentous one for markets, with coronavirus fears gripping markets and creating a risk-off environment. Stocks sold off while yields on government bonds also fell.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Assessing the market impact of the Wuhan coronavirus
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The outbreak of novel coronavirus in Wuhan, China, and in pockets around the world has garnered significant public concern, and the global financial market is on edge. We have received numerous questions about the potential impact to investors and how the economic effects of the coronavirus might compare to past outbreaks such as the spread of SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome) in 2003.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: The US-China trade deal presents a paradox for markets
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Last week, the US and China signed their Phase 1 trade agreement. This trade deal is a paradox — in my view, it is both inconsequential and yet extremely important.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: What could the US-Iran conflict mean for investors?
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After the US killing of Qassim Suleimani on Jan. 3 and Iran’s retaliatory, non-lethal missile strike against two US military facilities in Iraq on Jan. 7, the situation appears to have de-escalated. However, investors continue to worry about the potential for this conflict between the US and Iran to worsen. We do not believe that a war is likely at this juncture, but it is important to understand the potential effects that such a worst-case scenario could have on the markets.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Amid a host of central bank developments, one constant remains: global market pressure
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Four central banks revisit policy, plus two new reports point to a continued global slowdown
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Beyond the yield curve - Other economic indicators to watch
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These metrics can provide a bigger picture of the US economy, but tariffs remain the ‘wild card’.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: The making of a classic suspense movie shows us that confidence can’t trump reality
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One of my all-time favorite movies is “Jaws,” an iconic American summer movie about a great white shark that terrorizes a seaside New England resort town. Maybe it’s because I like the musical score, or maybe it’s because I like hearing my last name interspersed throughout the movie (a particularly noteworthy line is “Hooper drives the boat, Chief”), but I can be found watching the movie at least several times each summer.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: What does the fragmented parliamentary election mean for Europe?
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All eyes were on Europe this past week. First, UK Prime Minister Theresa May announced her resignation. Then the European parliamentary elections took place. Here are the key takeaways from a momentous week for the European continent.
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Weekly Market Compass: Global markets: Five events to watch this week
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It seems that so much happens in a given week these days. However, this week could be particularly momentous as we start to get answers on some key questions that have implications for global markets. Here are five events to watch:
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Talking tariffs - New tolls threaten to further strain US-China relations
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Last week took investors on a roller coaster ride. The climax came at the stroke of midnight on Friday, May 10, when US President Donald Trump’s newest tariffs went into effect — a 25% toll on $200 billion of Chinese goods. Then later on Friday, the negotiations ended with no material progress, and there are no formal plans to resume talks. What’s more, China retaliated the morning of May 13 by announcing tariffs on US goods being imported to China.