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Market Outlooks
Navigating market risks and opportunities ahead of a recession
With increasing economic uncertainty and market volatility in the first quarter of 2023, the probability of a mild recession beginning in the second half of the year or early next continues to rise.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
May FOMC meeting: Powell keeps the market on its toes
After having raised policy rates ten times, by a total of 500 basis points, in just 14 months, the Fed is getting close to wrapping up this tightening cycle—but may not be finished just yet.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
May ECB meeting: Hawkish step down, and no pause ahead
The European Central Bank (ECB) raised its three key policy rates for the seventh consecutive time, opting to step-down the increment to 25 basis points (bps)
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
April jobs report: Labor market strength defies Fed tightening
Market response
Market Outlooks
Anatomy of a Recession Update: The dominoes are falling
This piece is approved to use with clients.
ClearBridge Investments: The Recession Risk Dashboard saw three negative signal changes this month, suggesting a significant downshift in the economy.
Market Outlooks
Banking Turmoil: Outlook and Investment Implications
This piece is approved to use with clients.
While the full impact of the turmoil in the banking industry and the Fed’s response is still unknowable, we are gaining perspective on its economic impact, and thus its investment implications.