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Market Outlooks
Advisor Perspectives: CAPE is a Very Noisy Market Predictor
Analysts have many ways to estimate expected market returns. The challenge is to identify those few that provide usable information for making investment decisions. In this article, I discuss one of the common mistakes made in this type of analysis and why the cyclically adjusted PE (CAPE), developed by Robert Shiller, is not nearly as reliable a predictor of market returns as most claim it to be.
Market Outlooks
Behavioural Advisor: Beware Predictions and Magic Elixirs
The market and economy have gone through unprecedented events with a global pandemic, the shut-down of economies, massive government intervention and dramatic market swings.
Market Outlooks
‘Essential Businesses’: Managing Focused Stock Portfolios in a COVID-19 World
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Our equity portfolio managers talk about how they're navigating the COVID-19 crisis and their outlook.
Market Outlooks
U.S. vs. International Stocks: Will Next Decade’s Performance Look Different From the Last?
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International equity markets have trailed the U.S. for more than a decade. Does that make this asset class an opportunity or a value trap? We describe why we think international markets are poised for outperformance.
Portfolio Construction Insights
Is It Time to Take Risk Off the Table? Four Pillars Explained.
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Mike Coop, head of Multi-Asset Portfolio Management, Europe, covers how we believe our investment approach is designed to help us achieve better investment outcomes.
Market Outlooks
After the Rebound, Is It Time to Sell?
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We believe markets have priced in a fairly optimistic economic recovery from the coronavirus crisis, but some markets have increased significantly, while others have lagged. Here’s our take on long-term opportunities.
Behavioral Finance
Behavioral Lessons in Difficult Times
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Even in the best of times, investing can be challenging. Ryan Murphy, Morningstar Investment Management head of Decision Sciences, discusses how, in difficult times, it can be helpful for investors to take pause.
Behavioral Finance
Invest for The Decade, Not the Year
Sharing helpful data like decade-returns of the market can motivate investors to focus on the long-term and avoid costly behavioral mistakes.