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Behavioral Finance
Behavioral Advisor: Does the Economy Predict Stock Returns?
Investors, economists and the media spend an enormous amount of time and energy trying to forecast the economy. The idea is that forecasting economic growth will give us an idea of where the stock market is headed. Surprisingly, no predictive relationship exists between current economic conditions and the current stock market.
Manager & Investment Selection
Strategy Series: Strategy Preference Can Indicate Expected Stock Market Return
Rather surprisingly, the equity strategy framework can provide an estimate of current expected stock market returns. This is accomplished by measuring the recent investor response to each strategy, which, it turns out, captures the deep behavioral currents driving market returns. The resulting information is useful when managing equity market exposure.
Behavioral Finance
Diversify by Strategy to Stay on Track
It’s important for investors to understand how different investment strategies work and how each performs under various market conditions.
Behavioral Finance
Behavioral Advisor: Use Needs Rather than Fear for Allocation
Risk tolerance can result in poor risk management, significant misallocation of resources and a high degree of anxiety. AthenaInvest suggests using a needs-based planning instead.
Behavioral Finance
Behavioral Advisor: Look Beyond Cost For Active Management
Focus on low-cost equity mutual funds has increased dramatically in the past decade. While cost matters, mutual funds should be evaluated based on what investors get for the price they pay.
Behavioral Finance
Behavioral Advisor: The Wall of Worry
The last eight years have been a good period for equity investing. But can it last?
Behavioral Finance
Behavioral Advisor: Reframing Performance with Better Charts
Some charts emphasize volatility, timing, and emotionally charged events, distorting how we view performance and hurting the real long-term probability of a successful outcome.
Behavioral Finance
Behavioral Advisor: Why Expected Returns Matter Most
The current emphasis on low volatility and non-correlated multi-asset portfolios, created by blending equities, bonds and alternatives, can lead to unnecessary over-diversification and result in significant underperformance for long-term investors.
Behavioral Finance
Behavioral Advisor: The Power of Dividend Stocks
Dividend-paying equities represent an attractive source of investment income while also providing the opportunity for capital growth. This combination makes dividend stocks an important tool to help investors avoid exhausting their retirement savings.
Behavioral Finance
Behavioral Advisor: Exceptional Performance is Turbulent
The perfect portfolio may not look like what you think. A common fallacy is that good active equity funds should deliver consistently good short-term performance with smooth upward trending returns.