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Fixed Income Insights
The Shape of Credit
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In this Q&A, Portfolio Managers Jason England, Nick Maroutsos and Dan Siluk discuss the factors shaping credit markets, from central bank support to potential resilience from financials.
Key Takeaways
- Corporate earnings and cash flows are under strain, but while defaults are likely to increase, they should continue to be largely contained to sub-investment-grade issuers.
- Massive and proactive central bank support measures have injected confidence into markets, but this does not preclude sporadic bouts of future volatility and warrants a selective approach.
- We believe more resilient opportunities are likely to be found in higher-quality, shorter-dated investment-grade issues and continue to favor financial sector bonds and corporates with defensive attributes.
Fixed Income Insights
Building Bond Portfolios on a Strong Housing Market
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Conventional wisdom would suggest that rising unemployment would have discouraged consumers from making large contractual obligations like buying a new home, but the pandemic has affected the way many Americans think about housing. Portfolio Managers John Kerschner and Nick Childs discuss why this is happening and what it could mean for bond investors.
Fixed Income Insights
A Mostly Benign Outlook for U.S. Inflation
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The stabilization of U.S. economic growth amid unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus has raised questions about the likelihood of inflation returning. Global Head of Fixed Income Jim Cielinski explains why he does not see significant risk of sustained higher inflation materializing in the next few years – but cautions that short-term spikes are possible and that investors should evaluate the diversification that their fixed income portfolios provide.
Goals/Needs-Based Investing
Market Timing Whiplash
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When Market Experts Disagree
Goals/Needs-Based Investing
Stepping Forward in Confidence
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Investing through Market and Political Uncertainty
Fixed Income Insights
The Dire Outlook for Bonds in the Wake of COVID-19
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Over the coming decade or two, bonds are unlikely to fulfill their dual role of income and capital preservation. Bond investors will be forced to choose between income or capital preservation, and there is a good chance they could end up with neither.
Goals/Needs-Based Investing
The Importance of Avoiding Big Losses
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The Best Way to Make Money, Is to Not Lose It — This post examines the claim that minimizing losses is more important to the ultimate success of an investment plan than maximizing gains.
Goals/Needs-Based Investing
Taking the Long View
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Short-Term Views May Fall Short for Goals-Based Investing: The risk to both retail and professional investors is tinkering and tweaking portfolios in response to short-term “noise” and recent performance. The primary objective for investors with long-term goals should be to achieve their goals on time. Long-term goals require a longer-term view of the markets and risks.
Goals/Needs-Based Investing
Trailing vs Rolling Returns
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Redefining the Conversation about Returns: Help investors keep their "eyes on the prize", or that long-term goal, while helping them to avoid getting caught up in the fixating of chasing short-term returns or 'beating the market'.
Fixed Income Insights
The Dangers in High Yield Bonds & CLOs
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Worth the Risk? Investors in this space have always emphasized higher levels of income or growth rather than capital preservation. While these investments are often termed “speculative,” are investors truly aware of the amount of risk in these asset classes?