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Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Markets watch closely as variants reshape COVID landscape
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Variants emerge as a global concern
The Delta variant (B.1.617) is spreading at a rapid rate, which has caused the World Health
Market Outlooks
Economic growth rebounds but government support expected to roll off
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The recovery continues to pick up speed, particularly in the US and the UK where both nations have successfully vaccinated a majority of the population. The International Monetary Policy (IMF) have raised global Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth forecasts by 0.8% to 6% for 2021.
Market Outlooks
Transitory or sustained inflation?
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That is the question that continues to dominate markets. Central banks have been dogged in arguing the former. Richard Clarida of the Federal Reserve, for example, pointed to transitory factors such as base effects and supply chain bottlenecks that are behind the recent uptick in inflation.
Market Outlooks
Tech stocks’ short-term struggles may lead to long-term buying opportunities
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Technology stocks have been under pressure this year — thus far, the tech sector has been the second-worst-performing sector in the S&P 500 Index in 2021.1 However, while I don’t expect tech stocks to lead the market in performance very soon, I think there are some compelling reasons for investors with a long time horizon to treat any significant tech sell-offs as buying opportunities.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Four truths about inflation and the Fed
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Last week, investors shuddered as data showed a big rise in prices in the US and a greater-than-expected rise in prices in the eurozone. Stocks sold off, US Treasury yields climbed higher, and market pundits obsessed over inflation. I feel it’s important at this juncture to remind investors of a few truths surrounding inflation and the Federal Reserve.
Market Outlooks
Fiscal fails to disappoint
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Following the Democrats’ January win in the Georgia runoff election, we expected the Biden administration and Congress to move quickly on fiscal stimulus, though there were doubts as to whether the package would be as significant as the politicians promised.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Sometimes good economic news isn’t good for stocks. Here’s why we’re seeing such a moment right now.
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Well, last week was a real “meh” moment for markets as US stocks shrugged off the news of strong earnings. Certain high-profile companies reported strong results, and 86% of S&P 500 Index companies have beaten market expectations so far, with 60% of the index’s companies reporting.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: The Bank of Canada took a hawkish turn, the Biden administration floated a tax hike proposal, and earnings season could break a record for positive surprises. Here’s a round-up of key events from the past week, and what we’re watchi
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The Bank of Canada (BOC) is starting to take away the punch bowl even though the party is still relatively young. Last week, the central bank noted that the Canadian economy has already made a significant recovery — and that there has been an accompanying rise in inflation.
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Weekly Market Compass: Investors of all sizes are wondering whether cryptocurrencies are right for them. These considerations can help guide your decision.
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It’s about that time again — time to write another blog about cryptocurrencies. Not surprisingly, I received a deluge of client questions on cryptos last week given the Coinbase IPO and the record highs bitcoin reached earlier in the week (followed by the steep pullback in prices over the weekend).
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: The US and China lead the economic recovery, while fears of another virus wave grow in Brazil and India.
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Last week was a shortened holiday week for many, and some are coming back to the office after spring vacations. Here is a brief recap of the key things you may missed last week.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Israel may provide a preview of what’s to come in the US and UK — and in any country that achieves broad vaccine distribution.
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A month ago, I wrote about the great progress Israel was making in terms of inoculating its citizens against COVID-19. At the time, I said that we would want to follow economic data in Israel closely for indications of what the US and UK could expect in the near future — as they are making swift progress in vaccinating their respective populations — as well as what any country can expect once it successfully vaccinates a significant portion of its population.
Market Outlooks
Back to the future of fixed income, part 2: The search for more income
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In our original Back to the future of fixed income, we explored the value of and demand for income in an era of historically low government yields. For a sequel, we delve into an oft-maligned and misunderstood market segment: high yield. Described less generously as ‘junk’, we see a complex and evolving market segment, one that is essential in any conversation about income.