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Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: Top 10 blog posts of 2019
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From market perspectives with the weekly wire to behavioral finance and technology insights, these are our top 10 blog posts of 2019.
Market Outlooks
Baby boom – Great for economic growth, but there isn’t one in sight
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At a high level, two factors drive economic growth: 1. growth in a labor force (e.g. more people working this year versus last year) 2. growth in productivity (e.g. people producing more this year versus last year). So, the basic formula for growing an economy is people + productivity = economic growth.
Market Outlooks
It seems the jobs market has been drinking a bit of JOLT
Every month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics compiles the Jobs Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (i.e. JOLTS). The JOLTS program queries 16,000 private nonfarm businesses and government entities in the 50 states and the District of Columbia on timely employment topics, including job openings, hires, and layoffs.
Market Outlooks
Welcome back, welcome back, welcome back!
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A hallmark of the Great Recession was a decline in the prime age labor force participation rate from 83% to 80%, see the chart below. While a three-point drop might not seem significant, it reflects millions of Americans walking away from the economy, giving up on ever finding gainful employment.
Market Outlooks
It’s a big birthday for the bull market, and we see a successful quest for greater gains
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Happy birthday bull market! The longest running bull market in United States history hit a major milestone last week, turning 10 on March 9. It sure has been an interesting and exciting 10 years.
Market Outlooks
Equity and fixed income return volatility
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People need no help picturing equity return volatility. Anyone invested in the equity market in the middle 2000s still likely feels the scars from the subprime mortgage crisis. Prior to that, there was the dot com burst of the early 2000s.
Market Outlooks
Bell bottoms we can dig. But a V bottom we can REALLY dig.
As we wait on the overdue return of bell bottoms to a position of fashion prominence, our attention turns to a more important, and potentially more timely, bottom – a V bottom in the stock market.