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Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Evaluating the positive and negative signs over the past week
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Two weeks ago, I wrote about some burgeoning “green shoots” that offered early, encouraging signs of economic recovery around the world.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Powell pledges to support the economy, but notes more Congressional help may be needed
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Last week saw a massive sell-off for stocks globally. The initial trigger seems to have come from US Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell’s press conference following the June 9-10 meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Encouraging signs were seen in job creation, manufacturing and service activity, and auto sales
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The last time I used the term “green shoots” was the late spring and summer of 2009.
Market Outlooks
BENCHMARK REVIEW & MONTHLY RECAP, MAY 2020
Markets Continue Higher as the Economic Reopening Begins.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: The WPA put millions back to work during the Great Depression. Could this be a model for 2020 and beyond?
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Unemployment rates for many countries are sky high and likely to remain high for some time.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: US-China tensions could be the biggest risk to US stocks this year
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In the last several weeks, stocks have exhibited weakness and higher volatility. I am convinced that rising US-China tensions are behind this, and that the potential for a reignition of the US-China tariff war could be the single biggest risk to the US stock market this year.
Market Outlooks
Economic Data Reflects Shutdown, but Market Rallies
After one of the worst months and quarters in years, April saw a sharp rebound in equity markets as some of the worst-case COVID-19 scenarios did not materialize.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Some countries and states are easing lockdowns, while politicians debate what to do next
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One month ago in this blog, I noted that April would be a critical month to gauge the global response to the COVID-19 pandemic.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Congress readies for negotiations over the next stimulus bill, while governors decide when and how to re-open state economies
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For months, I have talked about the importance of policy in combatting the COVID-19 crisis: health policy, monetary policy, and fiscal policy.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: The Federal Reserve unveils more tools to help the US economy while Congress debates its next step
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A great deal of news has been announced over the last week, and it can be difficult to determine what’s the most meaningful for markets. Here are the items I’m focused on this week.
Market Outlooks
THE BOND BLUES
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The blues have hit the bond market, but we believe current dislocations can create opportunities for active managers of individual bond portfolios.
Market Outlooks
SUNDAY NIGHT SURPRISE
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In attempt to go all in, the Federal Reserve cut rates on Sunday night to the lower bound, 0-0.25% and announced a $700 billion Quantitative Easing (QE) program.