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Market Outlooks
Schumer’s Gambit, and Infrastructure Week
President Joe Biden is outlining a $4 trillion infrastructure plan that will include items like universal pre-kindergarten, significant investments in addressing climate change as well as tax increases to pay for this spending. In other words: items, that along with the overall size of the package, will raise the hackles of Republicans in Congress.
Market Outlooks
Revisiting Our Bear Market Bottom Checklist
After dropping 35% from its February 19, 2020 peak of 3,393, the S&P 500 bottomed out on March 23, 2020 at 2,192, ending a selloff that included the quickest bear market in the history of the index.
Market Outlooks
Congressional Review Act: Democrats Leave Key Regulatory Tool On Table—Why?
Many Democrats on Capitol Hill, and the party’s left flank, are itching to eliminate the legislative filibuster in order to get the Biden agenda into law.
Market Outlooks
Forget The Fox…What Do The Dots Say?
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“What does the fox say?” got me thinking about last week’s Federal Reserve meeting and “What do the dots say?”
Market Outlooks
Don’t Call It A Comeback
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Despite a down day Friday, it was a good week for the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite, with the index up more than 3% for the week.
Market Outlooks
Earmarks Make A Comeback
We look at the return of earmarks and how each party feels about it.
Market Outlooks
Inflation: base effects versus spare capacity
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The prospect of inflation remains a hot topic for both investors and policy makers. Chair Powell, in his testimony to Congress this month stressed that ‘inflation risks are to the downside’. He stated that inflation in the coming months is likely to jump as a result of ‘base effects.’
Market Outlooks
Inflation: Much discussed but rarely witnessed
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Alongside the prospect for a strong economic recovery, a growing debate has sprung up around the path of inflation and whether it could derail growth.
Market Outlooks
If Demography is Destiny, Thank a Millennial
When markets obsess over the news of the day, such as GameStop and a short squeeze of epic proportion (more on that in a bit), the best thing we can do as long-term investors is take a step back and focus on what drives the stock market, and the economy, over time.
Market Outlooks
Kind of, pretty much, just about divided government
The S&P 500 Index is up an extraordinary 16% since election day – November 3, 2020.