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Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Investors gain clarity on a COVID-19 vaccine, the presidential election, Brexit negotiations, and more
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The British philosopher Bertrand Russell once said, “What men want is not knowledge but certainty.” I have been thinking a lot about that quote in the last several weeks, and how especially in such uncertain times, certainty may be more helpful than knowledge in allowing us to move forward.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Could the stars align for a ‘Goldilocks’ economy?
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While legal challenges are underway, the Associated Press on Saturday called Pennsylvania for Joe Biden, which would push him past the 270 Electoral Count threshold. While this process may feel like an eternity, Biden’s timing from a market perspective may be impeccable. Don’t get us wrong.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: The US has survived contested elections and unrest before
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Well, last week was in fact a Pepto Bismol kind of week, just as I had expected. No fiscal stimulus in the US, COVID-19 cases on the rise in Europe and the US, and growing concerns about the US presidential election.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Markets could be faced with a contested presidential election, rising COVID-19 rates, and a stalled fiscal stimulus deal
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I am lucky enough to have developed a network of friends despite being a working mom. Some of these friends go back to childhood and high school, some are moms I have met through my children’s schools, and some are friends I have met in the workplace.
Market Outlooks
The stock market and the economy: Two different animals
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COVID-19 has cut a swathe through the world economy thanks to government mandated lock-downs and restrictions. No business closes its doors voluntarily and no individuals enjoy confinement to “barracks” for months on end. It is therefore essential that there is an appropriate reckoning when the pandemic passes.
Market Outlooks
The Fed’s new framework and its evolving reaction function
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Amid an accelerating election season, ongoing pandemic and a return to partisan gridlock, the Federal Reserve (Fed) has been a bit less prominent in the news cycle lately. However, at the central bank’s annual August retreat in Jackson Hole, Chairman Jerome Powell announced amendments to the Fed’s Statement on Longer-Run Goals and Monetary Policy Strategy, which had been largely unchanged since 2012. At a recent mini-forum on this topic, we discussed the significance of this change and its implications for future Fed policy and for investors.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: The UK walks away from talks with the EU, but there is still hope that a trade deal can be salvaged
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Last week was a critical one in the ongoing Brexit odyssey. As the UK hurtles towards the end of 2020 (which will mark its exit from the European Union), it has been negotiating with the EU on the terms of their future trading relationship.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Stimulus talks, presidential polls, Brexit and more could impact markets this month
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This month, I’m watching five key issues that have the potential to impact global markets.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: We explore the impact of three key events on markets and the economy
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Last week’s news cycle was relentless. Tuesday’s chaotic US presidential debate dominated headlines for a few days — until Friday, when President Donald Trump announced that he and the first lady tested positive for COVID-19.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Rising COVID-19 cases, a lack of US fiscal stimulus, and the potential for a contested presidential election are causing apprehension
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There is a feeling of apprehension in markets. I can sense it in the questions I receive.
Market Outlooks
Turning up the heat on a boiling pot
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The passing of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg has created a vacancy in the U.S. Supreme Court with only weeks until the November election. As the country awaits President Trump’s nominee, pundits on both sides of the aisle are claiming this process will strengthen their election chances. We see this process as primarily exacerbating the partisanship of U.S. voters and it is unclear which party will able to drive greater voter turnout or sway more independents
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: These are the top issues we hope the candidates will address in detail
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The first debate between President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden will take place on Sept. 29 — the first of three debates scheduled to take place before Election Day on Nov. 3.