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Portfolio Construction Insights
Optimizing Performance and Mitigating Volatility
In this edition of Envestat, we’re taking another look at the portfolio performance and examining outliers to determine what may be driving either positive performance or underperformance.
Behavioral Finance
We Don’t Have to Have a Recession
This piece is approved to use with clients.
There is not a “natural” economic reason for this expansion to end.
Behavioral Finance
Long-Term is Longer Than You Think
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Investment time horizon is a critical concept in building wealth. Most investors have very long investment time horizons, typically decades or more.
Behavioral Finance
Looking Past the Headlines
We are experiencing a new peak in the rhetoric around trade, geo-politics, the economy and the business cycle. We have also seen increased market volatility.
Behavioral Finance
Behavioral Advisor: Why Invest Now? A Tale of Three Investors
This piece is approved to use with clients.
“Now’s not a good time to invest,” or “I’m waiting for the right conditions” are familiar refrains we hear from investors and advisors alike. Fortunately for long-term investors who don’t take regular withdrawals from their portfolios, the sequence of returns doesn’t affect the ultimate investment outcome.
Behavioral Finance
Behavioral Advisor: Does the Economy Predict Stock Returns?
Investors, economists and the media spend an enormous amount of time and energy trying to forecast the economy. The idea is that forecasting economic growth will give us an idea of where the stock market is headed. Surprisingly, no predictive relationship exists between current economic conditions and the current stock market.
Manager & Investment Selection
Strategy Series: Strategy Preference Can Indicate Expected Stock Market Return
Rather surprisingly, the equity strategy framework can provide an estimate of current expected stock market returns. This is accomplished by measuring the recent investor response to each strategy, which, it turns out, captures the deep behavioral currents driving market returns. The resulting information is useful when managing equity market exposure.
Sustainable Investing
Societal Impact vs. Financial Return: A Case of “Either/Or” No More
Many investors who find impact investing potentially appealing have at the same time struggled with a notion that investing for the “greater good” will always be “concessionary,” that is, accompanied by some loss of financial performance.
Behavioral Finance
Diversify by Strategy to Stay on Track
It’s important for investors to understand how different investment strategies work and how each performs under various market conditions.
Behavioral Finance
Behavioral Advisor: Use Needs Rather than Fear for Allocation
Risk tolerance can result in poor risk management, significant misallocation of resources and a high degree of anxiety. AthenaInvest suggests using a needs-based planning instead.
Active/Passive Management
The Active Equity Renaissance: Behavioral Financial Markets
The analytical tools derived from behavioral finance’s more realistic representation of financial markets and human behavior will likely replace the wealth-limiting MPT tools in use today.
Active/Passive Management
The Active Equity Renaissance: New Frontiers of Risk
One modern portfolio theory (MPT) pillar that is unquestionably broken is the use of volatility, specifically standard deviation, as a measure of risk.