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Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: As COVID cases rise, will Powell address Fed tapering?
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Over the last several weeks, the idea that COVID-19 would soon be a problem of the past was dashed with recent data. Countries such as Israel — which I’ve described as the “gold standard” of vaccine rollouts — and the United States are experiencing a surge in COVID-19 infections.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: The Fed’s foreshadowing may help avoid another ‘taper tantrum’
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It’s “back to school” season in many parts of the world, which always brings back warm memories for me.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: A closer look at the Chinese tech sell-off
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I often use this blog as an opportunity to answer pressing questions from clients. And recently, it seems almost all the questions we are getting are about China – what is going on with Chinese stocks and whether investors should abandon them.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: What’s driving low Treasury yields?
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Last week, we saw yields on US Treasuries reach fresh multi-month lows. The 10-year yield fell to 1.25% during the week, although it was able to finish the week modestly higher.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Markets watch closely as variants reshape COVID landscape
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Variants emerge as a global concern
The Delta variant (B.1.617) is spreading at a rapid rate, which has caused the World Health
Market Outlooks
Economic growth rebounds but government support expected to roll off
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The recovery continues to pick up speed, particularly in the US and the UK where both nations have successfully vaccinated a majority of the population. The International Monetary Policy (IMF) have raised global Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth forecasts by 0.8% to 6% for 2021.
Fixed Income Insights
June 2021 BMO Fixed Income Market Update
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U.S. GDP estimates released in May showed the economy grew 6.4% in the first quarter, unchanged from the prior estimate and modestly below expectations.
Market Outlooks
Transitory or sustained inflation?
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That is the question that continues to dominate markets. Central banks have been dogged in arguing the former. Richard Clarida of the Federal Reserve, for example, pointed to transitory factors such as base effects and supply chain bottlenecks that are behind the recent uptick in inflation.
Market Outlooks
Tech stocks’ short-term struggles may lead to long-term buying opportunities
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Technology stocks have been under pressure this year — thus far, the tech sector has been the second-worst-performing sector in the S&P 500 Index in 2021.1 However, while I don’t expect tech stocks to lead the market in performance very soon, I think there are some compelling reasons for investors with a long time horizon to treat any significant tech sell-offs as buying opportunities.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Four truths about inflation and the Fed
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Last week, investors shuddered as data showed a big rise in prices in the US and a greater-than-expected rise in prices in the eurozone. Stocks sold off, US Treasury yields climbed higher, and market pundits obsessed over inflation. I feel it’s important at this juncture to remind investors of a few truths surrounding inflation and the Federal Reserve.
Market Outlooks
Fiscal fails to disappoint
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Following the Democrats’ January win in the Georgia runoff election, we expected the Biden administration and Congress to move quickly on fiscal stimulus, though there were doubts as to whether the package would be as significant as the politicians promised.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Sometimes good economic news isn’t good for stocks. Here’s why we’re seeing such a moment right now.
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Well, last week was a real “meh” moment for markets as US stocks shrugged off the news of strong earnings. Certain high-profile companies reported strong results, and 86% of S&P 500 Index companies have beaten market expectations so far, with 60% of the index’s companies reporting.