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Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Transitions are Hard
Transitions can be difficult. Whether you’re starting a new job, trying to get a toddler to move from playtime to nap time or dealing with jet lag after traveling a long distance, adjusting to a new reality can be a challenge.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Gridlock in Washington Could Mean More Active Statehouses
Take a deep breath – the 2020 election is finally, mercifully over
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Election 2020: Déjà Vu All Over Again?
While voting in the seemingly endless 2020 election is finally over, it was clear by President Donald Trump’s early morning East Room speech that there is still a whole lot of electioneering going on.
Market Outlooks
Applying Behavioral Finance in Emotionally Charged Times | A 2-Part Webinar Series
Applying Behavioral Finance in Emotionally Charged Times | A 2-Part Webinar Series
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
One Week Out, Comparing 2016 To 2020
On Nov. 6, 2016, two days before the last presidential election, Politico reporter Katelyn Fossett outlined the 16 worst political predictions of that year.
Market Outlooks
The stock market and the economy: Two different animals
This piece is approved to use with clients.
COVID-19 has cut a swathe through the world economy thanks to government mandated lock-downs and restrictions. No business closes its doors voluntarily and no individuals enjoy confinement to “barracks” for months on end. It is therefore essential that there is an appropriate reckoning when the pandemic passes.
Market Outlooks
The Fed’s new framework and its evolving reaction function
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Amid an accelerating election season, ongoing pandemic and a return to partisan gridlock, the Federal Reserve (Fed) has been a bit less prominent in the news cycle lately. However, at the central bank’s annual August retreat in Jackson Hole, Chairman Jerome Powell announced amendments to the Fed’s Statement on Longer-Run Goals and Monetary Policy Strategy, which had been largely unchanged since 2012. At a recent mini-forum on this topic, we discussed the significance of this change and its implications for future Fed policy and for investors.
Fixed Income Insights
October Fixed Income Market Update
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In our view, while economic data has been generally improving, higher frequency data such as elevated jobless claims and small business employment highlight the risk that the recovery could stall absent additional fiscal stimulus. Given tensions and political posturing entering the last stages of election season, short-term we believe risk premiums should be higher on the margin until resolution of the election.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Ballot Initiatives: Buyer Beware
While early voting lines might be much longer this year (multiple news outlets reported massive waits in Florida on Monday, for example, where it was the first day of early voting), voters’ actual ballots could be much shorter.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
The Fate of the Filibuster
The hearings for U.S. Supreme Court nominee Amy Coney Barrett have almost concluded and it is likely the Senate Judiciary Committee will vote to approve her nomination later today.