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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Why the structural matters now
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Markets are adjusting to the new regime of greater macro and market volatility, in our view.
Market Outlooks
The High Probability of Recession in Europe Likely Will Burden Equities
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Higher interest rates, rising energy prices and plummeting credit are likely pushing the European economy into recession. Chief Investment Strategist for EMEA and APAC Wouter Sturkenboom, CFA, analyzes the global forces affecting Europe and explains how we’re positioned in our portfolios.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Finding new opportunities as Q4 starts
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Markets are adjusting to the new regime of greater volatility and higher interest rates.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Yields surge as new regime plays out
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Yields on benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasuries last week briefly rose to 16-year highs above 4.50% as major central banks paused rate hikes but left the door open for more.
Market Outlooks
MarketScape: Equities May Stumble over Rising U.S. Earnings Expectations
Increasing market expectations for U.S. earnings growth over the next two years have backed large-cap equities. Chief Investment Strategist for North America Chris Shipley examines the assumptions underlying earnings estimates and why the market may be in for disappointment.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Seizing new regime opportunities
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We see the new regime of greater volatility playing out: higher interest rates, stagnating activity and structural forces set to push inflation back up. Flip-flops in the market narrative make that clear.
Market Outlooks
Student of the Market: September 2023
Stay on top of the changing market environments by learning from their historical parallels.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: New regime fuels narrative flip flops
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We‘re in an unprecedented macro environment that is driving constant shifts in the market narrative: from hopes of avoiding recession to fears good macro news could be bad for markets in just a few months. We see the market moving with data as if we’re in a normal business cycle.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Favoring short-term bonds long term
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Sovereign bond yields have surged this year, with U.S. long-term yields hitting 16-year highs last month. We prefer short-term government bonds over credit. We go underweight high quality credit on a strategic view of five years and longer and trim our overall underweight to sovereign bonds.
Market Outlooks
MarketScape: How to Reconcile Dueling Outlooks for U.S. Earnings
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Amid dueling forecasts, we anticipate a slight adjustment in the U.S. equity margins. Gain clarity from Deputy CIO and CIO of Global Equities Michael Hunstad, Ph.D. as he discusses current conditions.