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Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: The Low Yield Environment and Corporate Credit Trends
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Outside of the oil crises, U.S. real yields have never been lower and global negative yield debt reached a record $18.38 trillion on 12/11/20, and as of Tuesday, 2/16/21 stands at $14.74 trillion. The U.S. 10-year Treasury real yield hit an all-time low on 8/6/20 at -1.08% and again on 1/4/21. It now stands at -1.04%. The previous low was in December 2012 at -0.92%.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Municipals Do Their Best Tortoise Impression and Play Catch Up
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Slow and steady wins the race, or so says Aesop. After playing the post-COVID investment grade laggard for the majority of 2020, the municipal market’s consistent slow-paced nature has them playing catch up through the first 25 trading days of 2021. While municipals enjoyed a healthy 5.21% year-to-date return for 2020, that was still behind U.S. Treasuries by 279 bps (basis points) as well as U.S. Investment Grade Corporates by a staggering 468 bps.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: The Pandemic: A Credit Epilogue
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Introduction: While the COVID-19 crisis is not yet over, with cases recently spiking again, the vaccines are being administered and there appears to be a light at the end of the tunnel. It still remains to be seen whether new consumer behavior will stick or revert to pre-pandemic patterns.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: The Japanification of the Global Economy
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The state of global interest rates is sinking quickly. Negative interest rates have now engulfed over $15 trillion of global sovereign debt with nearly 30% of all developed country sovereign debt having a negative yield.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Economic Problems in Europe and China Are Real – So Are The Opportunities
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Two of our high conviction best ideas for 2019 include Emerging Markets and Europe. After a dismal year for global equity markets in 2018, both markets have gotten off to a great start in 2019 roughly keeping pace with the United States. According to Bloomberg, year to date through March 15, Emerging Markets (as measured by the MSCI Emerging Markets Index) is up an impressive 9.73% while the S&P 500 outpaces being up 12.8%. Europe (as measured by the Eurostoxx 50) is up a respectable 12.87%. What should we expect for the balance of the year?
Tax Management
Investor Education: Tax Efficient Investing
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Taxes can have a significant impact on your clients' investment returns. This guide helps them understand the importance of building and maintaining a tax-efficient portfolio.
Fixed Income Insights
Municipal Perspectives: Sometimes the Slow Lane is Faster
In Vanguard municipal perspectives for the second quarter of 2018, Chris Alwine, head of Vanguard Municipal Group, and Edward J. Saracino, senior product manager, explain why our portfolio managers are reducing risk in our municipal funds.
Behavioral Finance
Trust and Financial Advice
Vanguard researchers break down strategies advisors can use to build greater trust with their clients.
Investing Ideas
Vanguard's Principles for Investing Success
Vanguard's guidance for investors is centered on four core principles: Define clear goals, choose diversified portfolio holdings that balance risk and potential reward, minimize cost, and stay disciplined over the long term.
Investing Ideas
Trade Status: It's Complicated
Understanding the current—and potentially future—state of the global economy helps investors put market movements into context. To promote that understanding, researchers from Vanguard Investment Strategy Group examine the economic trends that affect the investing environment.
Portfolio Construction Insights
Vanguard's Framework for Constructing Globally Diversified Portfolios
This research paper discusses creating and maintaining globally diversified portfolios and shares a framework you can use to build portfolios around clients' investment goals and constraints.
Investing Ideas
How Investors Select Advisors
The first installment in a Vanguard research series identifies five types of advised investors, based on their knowledge levels and interests, and suggests ways to satisfy each.