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Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: The Low Yield Environment and Corporate Credit Trends
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Outside of the oil crises, U.S. real yields have never been lower and global negative yield debt reached a record $18.38 trillion on 12/11/20, and as of Tuesday, 2/16/21 stands at $14.74 trillion. The U.S. 10-year Treasury real yield hit an all-time low on 8/6/20 at -1.08% and again on 1/4/21. It now stands at -1.04%. The previous low was in December 2012 at -0.92%.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Municipals Do Their Best Tortoise Impression and Play Catch Up
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Slow and steady wins the race, or so says Aesop. After playing the post-COVID investment grade laggard for the majority of 2020, the municipal market’s consistent slow-paced nature has them playing catch up through the first 25 trading days of 2021. While municipals enjoyed a healthy 5.21% year-to-date return for 2020, that was still behind U.S. Treasuries by 279 bps (basis points) as well as U.S. Investment Grade Corporates by a staggering 468 bps.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: The Pandemic: A Credit Epilogue
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Introduction: While the COVID-19 crisis is not yet over, with cases recently spiking again, the vaccines are being administered and there appears to be a light at the end of the tunnel. It still remains to be seen whether new consumer behavior will stick or revert to pre-pandemic patterns.
Market Outlooks
How have money markets fared during Covid-19 volatility?
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Fed actions spurred confidence in, and inflows into, liquidity sector.
Investing Ideas
3 reasons to invest in money market funds
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Relative safety, liquidity and stability
Market Outlooks
Will the recovery favor value or growth stocks?
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The length of the crisis will decide.
Market Outlooks
What's driving your outlook?
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Massive policy response and a crisis-fed acceleration of positive macro trends.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
COVID-19 Relief Packages Require Action
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What Plan Sponsors Need to Know About Changes to Their Retirement Plans and Paid Leave Programs.
Market Outlooks
Patience Is A Virtue
In light of several recent economic events, this piece addresses the question of “where do we go from here?”.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Federated's Re-election Dashboard
A series of economic indicators that have historically been predictive of re-election results.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: The Japanification of the Global Economy
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The state of global interest rates is sinking quickly. Negative interest rates have now engulfed over $15 trillion of global sovereign debt with nearly 30% of all developed country sovereign debt having a negative yield.