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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Fed catches up with restart reality
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The Fed surprised markets by embracing higher inflation and heralding a lift-off from zero rates in 2023, rather than 2024.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: What lies beyond the restart?
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BlackRock’s senior executives and portfolio managers gathered virtually at our midyear outlook forum at a critical juncture in markets – with a pro-risk consensus over the tactical horizon.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: ECB - keeping up the pace
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We expect the ECB to maintain its current pace of asset purchases even as the economic restart gains traction.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Gauging geopolitical risks
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The market focus is on the restart and inflation - and less on geopolitical risks – yet it’s worth watching specific risks as flareups could catch investors off guard.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Don’t be surprised by surprising data
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We see the recent inflation spike as temporary due to unique restart forces, but see inflation on the rise in the medium term. Both views keep us pro-risk.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Mind the (rate expectation) gap
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Markets are pricing in a liftoff from near-zero policy rates as early as next year, even though the Fed through its new framework has committed to stay behind the curve on inflation.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Inflation: beyond near-term volatility
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Inflation looks set to overshoot the Fed’s target as we have expected. Yet we see uncertainties around the near-term persistence of the overshoot as the restart leads to unusual supply and demand dynamics.