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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Upgrading U.S. equities
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We upgrade U.S. equities to overweight, with a preference for quality large caps riding structural growth trends – as well as smaller companies geared to a potential cyclical upswing. We prefer to look through any near-term market volatility as Covid cases surge. Positive vaccine news reinforces our outlook for an accelerated restart during 2021, reducing risks of permanent economic scarring.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Vaccines shape 2021 outlook
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Positive news on Covid vaccines gives us greater confidence that the economic restart can re-accelerate in 2021 – and that the cumulative activity loss from the virus shock will ultimately be a fraction of that seen after the global financial crisis (GFC). We prefer to look through any market volatility generated by the virus resurgence and renewed restrictions over the challenging months ahead.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Investing after the U.S. election
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Joe Biden’s victory in the presidential race likely ushers in a near-term market environment dominated by low rates, a hunt for yield and growth stocks.
Market Outlooks
U.S. election: too early to call
The U.S. election result was too early to call on Nov. 4, raising the prospect of a period of uncertainty as vote counting of absentee and mail-in ballots continues in several battleground states
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Our latest equity views
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Polls are suggesting a greater likelihood of a Democratic sweep in this week’s U.S. election. We are starting to incorporate themes we believe would outperform in that event, moving toward a more pro-risk stance overall despite last week’s market pullback.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Changing our government bond views
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Markets are increasingly reflecting a unified Democratic government outcome that may lead to a significant fiscal expansion. This electoral outcome would bring forward the market pricing of the higher inflation regime that we were already reflecting in our strategic asset views.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Restructuring opportunities
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Many companies may need to turn to private credit to restructure post-Covid. We see potential for such investments to serve as growth assets and diversifiers when new sources of portfolio resilience are needed.