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Market Outlooks
2021 Market GPS: Diversified Alternatives Outlook
The message to take away from 2020 is that the rules are changing. Traditional fiscal and monetary policy has been replaced by exceptional measures to prop up economies and protect jobs in the face of a global pandemic, while increasingly antagonistic relations between countries have ushered in an era of heightened macro and political uncertainty.
Head of Diversified Alternatives David Elms and Diversified Alternatives Portfolio Managers Steve Cain and Aneet Chachra consider the impact of 2020 on investment markets. They explore some of the areas they are looking at as potential risks (and opportunities) for investors as we move into 2021 and explain why they believe that investors should look beyond traditional investment vehicles for real diversification and volatility mitigation.
Fixed Income Insights
2021 Market GPS: Fixed Income Outlook
Market behaviour in 2020 was all about flows: liquidity flooding the markets, a disease travelling through the population, global supply chains reconfiguring, and technology streaming work and entertainment to the masses. Jim Cielinski, Global Head of Fixed Income at Janus Henderson, explains that fixed income is sensitive to flows, and their direction in 2021 will help determine how the asset class navigates the year ahead.
Fixed Income Insights
ISG Insight: A mostly benign outlook for US inflation
This piece is approved to use with clients.
The stabilisation of US economic growth amid unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus has raised questions about the likelihood of inflation returning. Jim Cielinski, Global Head of Fixed Income, and Andrew Mulliner, Global Bonds Portfolio Manager, both members of the Fixed Income ISG, explain why they do not see significant risks of sustained higher inflation materialising in the next few years, though caution that short-term spikes are possible and investors should evaluate the diversity that their fixed income portfolios provide.
Fixed Income Insights
CLOs: A Bias Toward Quality
CLOs continued their rebound in the third quarter, but the potential for volatility going forward is high. In this environment, there may be benefits to moving up in quality.
Fixed Income Insights
High Yield: Halfway There?
The shock was the story in the first quarter, the stimulus was the story in the second—but we’re decidedly not yet in the post-COVID era, and the path to economic recovery remains unclear. What does that mean for high yield?
Fixed Income Insights
EMD: A Strong Tailwind, But Risks on the Horizon
Segments of the EM debt market have been bright spots in fixed income this year. Will EMs outperform DMs in the months ahead—or are the risks too great? It may come down to country and credit selection.
Sustainable Investing
ESG in Equities: Better Outcomes Require Better Practices
Not all approaches to ESG are created equal—why a focus on integration, forward-looking dynamics and active engagement is the key to unlocking long-term returns in equity investments.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Deal or No Deal?
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Several nations around the world await deals, whether it is another fiscal stimulus package or a trade agreement between the U.K. and EU. Global inflation data is likely to remain contained, and U.S. September retail sales are expected to post another modest rise.
Market Outlooks
U.S. Presidential Elections and Stock Markets
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Historically, market returns helped predict presidential election outcomes, but using election dates for market timing is inconclusive.
Fixed Income Insights
The Evolving Opportunity in Distressed Debt
As the pandemic recedes, some companies may have a harder time managing higher debt levels than others—and as weaker issuers undergo restructurings or other stressed situations, there may be opportunities for investors to deploy more capital into distressed debt strategies.