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Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: How much pain are asset classes pricing in?
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Our best case (Goldilocks) scenario entails inflation moderating, GDP growth proving resilient and the Fed pausing on raising rates when the coffee is neither too hot nor too cold.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Catalysts to quell volatility — what, how and when?
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Within equities, we prefer a defensive tilt toward dividend growers.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Headlines cause volatility, but details drive the narrative
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Our economic base case remains intact, but market volatility should persist.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Bond alchemy: turning duration into a positive
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Unexpecting the expected. Investors aren’t used to seeing dramatic losses in their bond portfolios, particularly when equity markets are also declining sharply.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Earnings seasoned with a grain of salt
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Inflation trends should benefit some areas more than others. So far, higher inflation has had a mixed impact on corporate earnings.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Don’t shrink from the Fed’s balance sheet runoff
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What a difference five years makes. Today’s backdrop for balance sheet reduction bears little resemblance to the last time the Fed initiated QT in September 2017.