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Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Fed ready to rein in but not reverse rates
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In the first quarter, our Global Investment Committee upgraded its outlook on emerging markets equity and debt, a view we still hold. Last week’s likely pause in Fed rate hikes could be a catalyst for further weakening of the U.S. dollar, which has already declined about 6% from its October 2022 high relative to EM currencies.
Market Outlooks
The Fed hikes once more
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Tony Rodriguez summarizes the outcome of the latest U.S. Federal Reserve meeting.
Market Outlooks
Settling in for the Long Haul
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As we settle into the second quarter of 2023, we reassess our projections for the remainder of the year and analyze how these implications will affect our outlook for recession risk, central banks’ pivoting away from restrictive monetary policy sooner than expected, and corporate earnings expectations.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Opportunities for when the Fed’s recession knocks
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This anticipated environment of interest rate stability could (we hope and expect) create attractive opportunities in the taxable fixed income arena. In particular, we favor spread sectors that offer compelling yields that should avoid excessive spread widening — even during the mild recession we anticipate will occur later in 2023.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: When rates are steady, munis will be ready
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Across the municipal bond landscape, we prefer pairing credit risk with duration risk.
Market Outlooks
Quarterly taxable fixed income outlook: Rates, risk and recession
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Outlook on the quarter ahead from Anders Persson and Tony Rodriguez.